Next US strike on Syria on...?
Next US strike on Syria on...?
December 19 100.0%
December 13 <1%
December 14 <1%
December 15 <1%
$1,107,488 Vol.
$1,107,488 Vol.
December 13
No
December 14
No
December 15
No
December 16
No
December 17
No
December 18
No
December 19
Yes
December 20
No
December 21
No
December 22
No
December 23
No
December 24
No
December 25
No
December 26
No
December 27
No
December 28
No
December 29
No
December 30
No
December 31
No
No US strike on Syria in 2025
No
December 19 100.0%
December 13 <1%
December 14 <1%
December 15 <1%
$1,107,488 Vol.
$1,107,488 Vol.
December 13
No
December 14
No
December 15
No
December 16
No
December 17
No
December 18
No
December 19
Yes
December 20
No
December 21
No
December 22
No
December 23
No
December 24
No
December 25
No
December 26
No
December 27
No
December 28
No
December 29
No
December 30
No
December 31
No
No US strike on Syria in 2025
No
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 13, 2025, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No

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