Next French Presidential Election

Name: Next French Presidential Election
Start: 2025-11-13T23:10:18.574088Z
End: 2027-04-30T00:00:00Z

Jordan Bardella 25%

Marine Le Pen 17%

Édouard Philippe 13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

$1,684,315 Vol

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella
$122,756 Vol.
25%

Marine Le Pen
$76,975 Vol.
17%

Édouard Philippe
$36,204 Vol.
13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$56,037 Vol.
11%

Dominique de Villepin
$71,959 Vol.
7%

Gabriel Attal
$35,079 Vol.
5%

Sarah Knafo
$46,437 Vol.
5%

David Lisnard
$28,668 Vol.
5%

Sébastien Lecornu
$11,783 Vol.
4%

Bruno Retailleau
$31,145 Vol.
3%

Raphaël Glucksmann
$31,642 Vol.
2%

Éric Zemmour
$44,839 Vol.
2%

Juan Branco
$34,231 Vol.
1%

François Hollande
$40,027 Vol.
1%

Gérald Darmanin
$27,929 Vol.
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
$21,238 Vol.
1%

Jean Castex
$41,801 Vol.
1%

François Ruffin
$22,859 Vol.
1%

Marine Tondelier
$38,117 Vol.
1%

Olivier Faure
$25,695 Vol.
<1%

Clémence Guetté
$8,958 Vol.
<1%

Ségolène Royal
$75,638 Vol.
<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
$22,459 Vol.
<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
$40,298 Vol.
<1%

Fabien Roussel
$67,601 Vol.
<1%

François Asselineau
$91,090 Vol.
<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$36,530 Vol.
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
$23,501 Vol.
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
$33,855 Vol.
<1%

Carole Delga
$69,890 Vol.
<1%

Manuel Bompard
$147,135 Vol.
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
$63,074 Vol.
<1%

Clémentine Autain
$56,852 Vol.
<1%

Michel Barnier
$29,871 Vol.
<1%

François Bayrou
$33,643 Vol.
<1%

Mathilde Panot
$38,501 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Volume

$1,684,315

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Created At

Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 25%

Marine Le Pen 17%

Édouard Philippe 13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

$1,684,315 Vol

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella

$122,756 Vol.

25%

Marine Le Pen

$76,975 Vol.

17%

Édouard Philippe

$36,204 Vol.

13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$56,037 Vol.

11%

Dominique de Villepin

$71,959 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$35,079 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$46,437 Vol.

David Lisnard

$28,668 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$11,783 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$31,145 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$31,642 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$44,839 Vol.

Juan Branco

$34,231 Vol.

François Hollande

$40,027 Vol.

Gérald Darmanin

$27,929 Vol.

Laurent Wauquiez

$21,238 Vol.

Jean Castex

$41,801 Vol.

François Ruffin

$22,859 Vol.

Marine Tondelier

$38,117 Vol.

Olivier Faure

$25,695 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$8,958 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$75,638 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$22,459 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$40,298 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$67,601 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$91,090 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$36,530 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$23,501 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$33,855 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$69,890 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$147,135 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$63,074 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$56,852 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$29,871 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$33,643 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$38,501 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,684,315

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Created At

Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

French election called by June 30, 2026?

36%

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53%

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

65%

Beware of external links.

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella$122,756 Vol.25%buy Yes26¢buy No77¢

Marine Le Pen$76,975 Vol.17%buy Yes17¢buy No84¢

Édouard Philippe$36,204 Vol.13%buy Yes14¢buy No88¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$56,037 Vol.11%buy Yes12¢buy No90¢

Dominique de Villepin$71,959 Vol.7%buy Yes7.3¢buy No92.8¢

Gabriel Attal$35,079 Vol.5%buy Yes6¢buy No96¢

Sarah Knafo$46,437 Vol.5%buy Yes5.1¢buy No95.1¢

David Lisnard$28,668 Vol.5%buy Yes6.1¢buy No96.4¢

Sébastien Lecornu$11,783 Vol.4%buy Yes5¢buy No97¢

Bruno Retailleau$31,145 Vol.3%buy Yes3.5¢buy No96.7¢

Raphaël Glucksmann$31,642 Vol.2%buy Yes2.3¢buy No98.0¢

Éric Zemmour$44,839 Vol.2%buy Yes1.8¢buy No98.6¢

Juan Branco$34,231 Vol.1%buy Yes1.1¢buy No99.1¢

François Hollande$40,027 Vol.1%buy Yes1.0¢buy No99.1¢

Gérald Darmanin$27,929 Vol.1%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.3¢

Laurent Wauquiez$21,238 Vol.1%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.5¢

Jean Castex$41,801 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.6¢

François Ruffin$22,859 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.6¢

Marine Tondelier$38,117 Vol.1%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.6¢

Olivier Faure$25,695 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.7¢

Clémence Guetté$8,958 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.7¢

Ségolène Royal$75,638 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.8¢

Bernard Cazeneuve$22,459 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.8¢

Yaël Braun-Pivet$40,298 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Fabien Roussel$67,601 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

François Asselineau$91,090 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$36,530 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Valérie Pécresse$23,501 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Élisabeth Borne$33,855 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Carole Delga$69,890 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Manuel Bompard$147,135 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Xavier Bertrand$63,074 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Clémentine Autain$56,852 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Michel Barnier$29,871 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

François Bayrou$33,643 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Mathilde Panot$38,501 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context