Market icon

Most popular boy name 2025

Market icon

Most popular boy name 2025

Liam 86.7%

Noah 11.2%

Theodore <1%

Elijah <1%

Polymarket

$777,175 Vol.

Liam 86.7%

Noah 11.2%

Theodore <1%

Elijah <1%

Polymarket

$777,175 Vol.

Liam

$181,286 Vol.

87%

Noah

$163,352 Vol.

11%

Theodore

$37,345 Vol.

1%

Elijah

$64,604 Vol.

<1%

Lucas

$0 Vol.

<1%

William

$25,118 Vol.

<1%

Oliver

$34,929 Vol.

<1%

James

$199,814 Vol.

<1%

Henry

$32,987 Vol.

<1%

Mateo

$37,740 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Liam at an 86.7% implied probability as the most popular boy name for 2025 per SSA rankings, reflecting its unchallenged reign as the national #1 since 2017—now eight straight years after the May 2025 release of 2024 data confirmed its dominance over Noah. Noah holds a distant 11.2% on momentum from BabyCenter's November 2025 list crowning it #1 in real-time user trends, though traders remain skeptical given SSA's historical lag and birth certificate-based methodology. Lower-tier names like Theodore (0.6%) trail as perennial top-5 contenders without breakout signals. Recent state reports (e.g., Virginia's February 2026 data listing Liam #1) reinforce stability, but the SSA's expected May 2026 announcement looms as the key catalyst amid fluid cultural naming shifts.

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$777,175
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Liam at an 86.7% implied probability as the most popular boy name for 2025 per SSA rankings, reflecting its unchallenged reign as the national #1 since 2017—now eight straight years after the May 2025 release of 2024 data confirmed its dominance over Noah. Noah holds a distant 11.2% on momentum from BabyCenter's November 2025 list crowning it #1 in real-time user trends, though traders remain skeptical given SSA's historical lag and birth certificate-based methodology. Lower-tier names like Theodore (0.6%) trail as perennial top-5 contenders without breakout signals. Recent state reports (e.g., Virginia's February 2026 data listing Liam #1) reinforce stability, but the SSA's expected May 2026 announcement looms as the key catalyst amid fluid cultural naming shifts.

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$777,175
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Most popular boy name 2025" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Liam" at 87%, followed by "Noah" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Most popular boy name 2025" has generated $777.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Most popular boy name 2025," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Most popular boy name 2025" is "Liam" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Noah" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Most popular boy name 2025" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.