Trader consensus heavily favors under 300k first-week US sales for Kanye West's 'Bully' at 83.5% implied probability, driven by Ye's sales trajectory plummeting from multi-platinum peaks to Vultures 1's 148k and Vultures 2's 99k debuts amid boycotts over antisemitic controversies, DSP restrictions, and radio blackouts. Early Hits Daily Double projections estimate 150-250k units, tempered by minimal promo, no major features, and fragmented fan sentiment on X where hype battles backlash. The 300k-400k bin (7%) sees minor lift from loyalists, but absent a viral hit or surprise collab before tracking week ends, higher brackets remain longshots reflecting industry fatigue with Ye's output.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 84%
300k-400k 7%
800k-900k 3.7%
400k-500k 3.5%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
7%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
<300k 84%
300k-400k 7%
800k-900k 3.7%
400k-500k 3.5%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
7%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors under 300k first-week US sales for Kanye West's 'Bully' at 83.5% implied probability, driven by Ye's sales trajectory plummeting from multi-platinum peaks to Vultures 1's 148k and Vultures 2's 99k debuts amid boycotts over antisemitic controversies, DSP restrictions, and radio blackouts. Early Hits Daily Double projections estimate 150-250k units, tempered by minimal promo, no major features, and fragmented fan sentiment on X where hype battles backlash. The 300k-400k bin (7%) sees minor lift from loyalists, but absent a viral hit or surprise collab before tracking week ends, higher brackets remain longshots reflecting industry fatigue with Ye's output.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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