July 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.00–1.04 100.0%
<0.90 <1%
0.90–0.94 <1%
0.95–0.99 <1%
$2,041,647 Vol.
$2,041,647 Vol.
Jul 31, 2025
<0.90
$191,970 Vol.
No
<0.90
$191,970 Vol.
No
0.90–0.94
$475,004 Vol.
No
0.90–0.94
$475,004 Vol.
No
0.95–0.99
$513,093 Vol.
No
0.95–0.99
$513,093 Vol.
No
1.00–1.04
$238,723 Vol.
Yes
1.00–1.04
$238,723 Vol.
Yes
1.05–1.10
$358,303 Vol.
No
1.05–1.10
$358,303 Vol.
No
>1.10
$264,555 Vol.
No
>1.10
$264,555 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for July 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for July 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for July 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for July 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of a named bracket for July 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for July 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Created At: Jul 7, 2025, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$2,041,647End Date
Jul 31, 2025Created At
Jul 7, 2025, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
July 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.00–1.04 100.0%
<0.90 <1%
0.90–0.94 <1%
0.95–0.99 <1%
$2,041,647 Vol.
$2,041,647 Vol.
Jul 31, 2025
<0.90
$191,970 Vol.
No
0.90–0.94
$475,004 Vol.
No
0.95–0.99
$513,093 Vol.
No
1.00–1.04
$238,723 Vol.
Yes
1.05–1.10
$358,303 Vol.
No
>1.10
$264,555 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$2,041,647End Date
Jul 31, 2025Created At
Jul 7, 2025, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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