Market icon

Human to human bird flu transmission before February?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$196,325 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more credible health organizations (e.g. CDC, WHO, etc.) claims an H5N1 bird flu case was transmitted from one human to another human by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from such a credible health organization, however in case of ambiguity a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$196,325
End Date
Jan 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 30, 2024, 1:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more credible health organizations (e.g. CDC, WHO, etc.) claims an H5N1 bird flu case was transmitted from one human to another human by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from such a credible health organization, however in case of ambiguity a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Human to human bird flu transmission before February?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$196,325 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more credible health organizations (e.g. CDC, WHO, etc.) claims an H5N1 bird flu case was transmitted from one human to another human by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from such a credible health organization, however in case of ambiguity a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$196,325
End Date
Jan 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 30, 2024, 1:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more credible health organizations (e.g. CDC, WHO, etc.) claims an H5N1 bird flu case was transmitted from one human to another human by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from such a credible health organization, however in case of ambiguity a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.