MetService's latest forecast, updated on April 5, projects a maximum temperature of 21°C for Wellington Central on April 6 under fine conditions with easterlies strengthening in the afternoon, driving trader consensus with 21°C at 40.5% implied probability ahead of 22°C (21.0%) and 20°C (18.5%). This reflects a ridge of high pressure bringing settled weather after today's cooler southerlies, showers, and 17°C high, following April 4's 19.4°C peak. Above the seasonal April average of 17°C, the outlook aligns with model runs showing low precipitation risk and afternoon warming, though exact peaks carry uncertainty from coastal winds, station microclimates (e.g., Kelburn vs. airport), and timing—monitor hourly observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
21°C 43%
22°C 21%
20°C 19%
23°C or higher 10.1%
$29,759 Vol.
$29,759 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
19%
21°C
43%
22°C
21%
23°C or higher
10%
21°C 43%
22°C 21%
20°C 19%
23°C or higher 10.1%
$29,759 Vol.
$29,759 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
19%
21°C
43%
22°C
21%
23°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, updated on April 5, projects a maximum temperature of 21°C for Wellington Central on April 6 under fine conditions with easterlies strengthening in the afternoon, driving trader consensus with 21°C at 40.5% implied probability ahead of 22°C (21.0%) and 20°C (18.5%). This reflects a ridge of high pressure bringing settled weather after today's cooler southerlies, showers, and 17°C high, following April 4's 19.4°C peak. Above the seasonal April average of 17°C, the outlook aligns with model runs showing low precipitation risk and afternoon warming, though exact peaks carry uncertainty from coastal winds, station microclimates (e.g., Kelburn vs. airport), and timing—monitor hourly observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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