Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$226,711 Vol.
$226,711 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$226,711 Vol.
$226,711 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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