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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

52-53°F 27%

50-51°F 26%

54-55°F 15%

48-49°F 10%

Polymarket
NEW

52-53°F 27%

50-51°F 26%

54-55°F 15%

48-49°F 10%

Polymarket
NEW

47°F or below

$526 Vol.

6%

48-49°F

$395 Vol.

10%

50-51°F

$1,292 Vol.

26%

52-53°F

$476 Vol.

27%

54-55°F

$782 Vol.

18%

56-57°F

$255 Vol.

7%

58-59°F

$254 Vol.

6%

60-61°F

$428 Vol.

2%

62-63°F

$279 Vol.

1%

64-65°F

$287 Vol.

<1%

66°F or higher

$472 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing NYC's Central Park high temperature around 51-53°F on March 29, with GFS and ECMWF models showing a tight 50-55°F spread amid southerly winds ushering mild Atlantic air after a cool front. The near-even odds between 50-51°F (27%) and 52-53°F (26%) stem from subtle model divergences on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap peaks by 1-2°F, compounded by urban heat island effects and historical late-March variability averaging 52°F. New 12Z model runs expected today may refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,444
End Date
Mar 29, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing NYC's Central Park high temperature around 51-53°F on March 29, with GFS and ECMWF models showing a tight 50-55°F spread amid southerly winds ushering mild Atlantic air after a cool front. The near-even odds between 50-51°F (27%) and 52-53°F (26%) stem from subtle model divergences on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap peaks by 1-2°F, compounded by urban heat island effects and historical late-March variability averaging 52°F. New 12Z model runs expected today may refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing NYC's Central Park high temperature around 51-53°F on March 29, with GFS and ECMWF models showing a tight 50-55°F spread amid southerly winds ushering mild Atlantic air after a cool front. The near-even odds between 50-51°F (27%) and 52-53°F (26%) stem from subtle model divergences on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap peaks by 1-2°F, compounded by urban heat island effects and historical late-March variability averaging 52°F. New 12Z model runs expected today may refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official observations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "52-53°F" at 27%, followed by "50-51°F" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is "52-53°F" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-51°F" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.