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Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 29%

18°C 27%

19°C 19%

16°C 12%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C 29%

18°C 27%

19°C 19%

16°C 12%

Polymarket
NEW

12°C or below

$1,184 Vol.

<1%

13°C

$411 Vol.

2%

14°C

$96 Vol.

4%

15°C

$110 Vol.

7%

16°C

$126 Vol.

12%

17°C

$397 Vol.

29%

18°C

$235 Vol.

27%

19°C

$177 Vol.

19%

20°C

$119 Vol.

5%

21°C

$162 Vol.

4%

22°C or higher

$264 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (27.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting tight uncertainty in ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in the mid-to-upper teens amid a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Recent ARPA Lombardia updates and surface observations show overnight lows around 10-12°C with light southerly winds favoring slight warming, but persistent cloud cover and model disagreements on boundary layer mixing introduce a 1-2°C spread. Historical late-March averages hover near 14°C, making this above-normal outlook sensitive to tomorrow's 12Z model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which could refine probabilities before resolution based on official Milan Linate Airport measurements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,280
End Date
Mar 29, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (27.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting tight uncertainty in ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in the mid-to-upper teens amid a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Recent ARPA Lombardia updates and surface observations show overnight lows around 10-12°C with light southerly winds favoring slight warming, but persistent cloud cover and model disagreements on boundary layer mixing introduce a 1-2°C spread. Historical late-March averages hover near 14°C, making this above-normal outlook sensitive to tomorrow's 12Z model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which could refine probabilities before resolution based on official Milan Linate Airport measurements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (27.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting tight uncertainty in ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in the mid-to-upper teens amid a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Recent ARPA Lombardia updates and surface observations show overnight lows around 10-12°C with light southerly winds favoring slight warming, but persistent cloud cover and model disagreements on boundary layer mixing introduce a 1-2°C spread. Historical late-March averages hover near 14°C, making this above-normal outlook sensitive to tomorrow's 12Z model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which could refine probabilities before resolution based on official Milan Linate Airport measurements.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C" at 28%, followed by "18°C" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?" is "17°C" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "18°C" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.