Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?

Name: Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?
Start: 2026-03-25T10:23:49.227Z
End: 2026-03-29T12:00:00.000Z

Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

13°C 39%

12°C 25%

14°C 20%

11°C or below 7%

$121,495 Vol.

Mar 29, 2026

11°C or below

$2,823 Vol.

12°C

$1,694 Vol.

25%

13°C

$1,413 Vol.

39%

14°C

$2,291 Vol.

20%

15°C

$1,436 Vol.

16°C

$1,992 Vol.

17°C

$1,507 Vol.

18°C

$1,563 Vol.

19°C

$1,805 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$65,862 Vol.

<1%

21°C or higher

$39,109 Vol.

<1%

13°C 39%

12°C 25%

14°C 20%

11°C or below 7%

$121,495 Vol.

Mar 29, 2026

11°C or below

$2,823 Vol.

12°C

$1,694 Vol.

25%

13°C

$1,413 Vol.

39%

14°C

$2,291 Vol.

20%

15°C

$1,436 Vol.

16°C

$1,992 Vol.

17°C

$1,507 Vol.

18°C

$1,563 Vol.

19°C

$1,805 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$65,862 Vol.

<1%

21°C or higher

$39,109 Vol.

<1%

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 13°C (38.5% implied probability) for Madrid on March 29, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a maximum of 14°C and ECMWF ensemble means centering near 13°C amid northerly winds advecting cooler continental air over the Iberian Peninsula. This marks a dip from recent observations—19°C maximum at Madrid-Retiro on March 27 and a forecasted 20°C peak today (March 28)—due to a transitional high-pressure pattern limiting solar heating under partly cloudy skies with NE winds at 15 km/h and no precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads capture uncertainty between 12–14°C, below the late-March climatological average of 17°C, with final resolution hinging on AEMET's official Retiro station data; watch evening model updates for potential refinements.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 28, 2026, 5:20 AM UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "13°C" at 39%, followed by "12°C" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" has generated $121.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" is "13°C" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12°C" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $121.5K traded on “Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 39¢ for "13°C" in the "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 39% chance that "13°C" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 39¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 61¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 29, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" market has an active community of 16 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?

Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (16)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

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