Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 32°C or below in Lucknow on March 27, with 100% implied probability, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 30–32°C amid clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds. Recent surface observations from Lucknow's Amausi airport station and satellite-derived cloud cover data confirm stable conditions, lacking the subsidence or hot air advection needed for intensification—consistent with early spring patterns before pre-monsoon heating. Historical March averages hover around 33°C, but current model ensembles from IMD's Global Forecast System show no exceedance risk. Upsets could stem from unexpected solar heating spikes or wind shifts, though low-likelihood per ensemble spreads; official IMD readings will resolve post-sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 27?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 27?
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$88,817 Vol.
$88,817 Vol.
32°C or below
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$88,817 Vol.
$88,817 Vol.
32°C or below
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 32°C or below in Lucknow on March 27, with 100% implied probability, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 30–32°C amid clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds. Recent surface observations from Lucknow's Amausi airport station and satellite-derived cloud cover data confirm stable conditions, lacking the subsidence or hot air advection needed for intensification—consistent with early spring patterns before pre-monsoon heating. Historical March averages hover around 33°C, but current model ensembles from IMD's Global Forecast System show no exceedance risk. Upsets could stem from unexpected solar heating spikes or wind shifts, though low-likelihood per ensemble spreads; official IMD readings will resolve post-sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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