Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race between 37°C (30.5%) and 36°C (26.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 4 at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums of 36-38°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light rain. Recent observations show a April 1 maximum of 36.3°C, slightly below normal, amid a broader seasonal outlook for above-average heat in Uttar Pradesh through June due to persistent high-pressure systems and urban heat island effects in Lucknow. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast from western disturbances could suppress peaks to 36°C, while clearer intervals allow solar heating to 37-38°C—and light winds aiding daytime buildup. Daily IMD updates through April 3 will refine model consensus on these atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
37°C 29%
36°C 27%
35°C 14%
38°C 13%
$14,466 Vol.
$14,466 Vol.
33°C or below
5%
34°C
11%
35°C
14%
36°C
27%
37°C
29%
38°C
13%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 29%
36°C 27%
35°C 14%
38°C 13%
$14,466 Vol.
$14,466 Vol.
33°C or below
5%
34°C
11%
35°C
14%
36°C
27%
37°C
29%
38°C
13%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race between 37°C (30.5%) and 36°C (26.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 4 at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums of 36-38°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light rain. Recent observations show a April 1 maximum of 36.3°C, slightly below normal, amid a broader seasonal outlook for above-average heat in Uttar Pradesh through June due to persistent high-pressure systems and urban heat island effects in Lucknow. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast from western disturbances could suppress peaks to 36°C, while clearer intervals allow solar heating to 37-38°C—and light winds aiding daytime buildup. Daily IMD updates through April 3 will refine model consensus on these atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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