Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 23°C at 30.5%, 22°C at 27%, and 21°C at 21.5%, mirrors the latest Met Office forecast updated April 5 showing a 23°C high for London on April 8 under initially sunny skies turning to intervals, driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and low rain risk (<5%). This follows early April's rainy start, with recent GFS and ECMWF runs converging on above-average warmth—well beyond the 13–14°C April climatological mean—due to clear skies maximizing midday solar insolation and subsidence suppressing clouds. Tight odds reflect 1–2°C ensemble spreads from model discrepancies in ridge positioning and afternoon cloudiness; daily updates from NOAA and UKMO through April 7 could refine trajectories, as short-range forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from evolving upper-air patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on April 8?
Highest temperature in London on April 8?
23°C 30%
21°C 25%
22°C 24%
20°C 8%
NEW
$11,824 Vol.
NEW
$11,824 Vol.
Apr 8, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
8%
21°C
25%
22°C
24%
23°C
30%
24°C or higher
7%
23°C 30%
21°C 25%
22°C 24%
20°C 8%
NEW
$11,824 Vol.
NEW
$11,824 Vol.
Apr 8, 2026
14°C or below
$3,018 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$616 Vol.
1%
17°C
$728 Vol.
2%
18°C
$649 Vol.
3%
19°C
$911 Vol.
6%
20°C
$956 Vol.
8%
21°C
$1,356 Vol.
25%
22°C
$1,164 Vol.
24%
23°C
$907 Vol.
30%
24°C or higher
$938 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 23°C at 30.5%, 22°C at 27%, and 21°C at 21.5%, mirrors the latest Met Office forecast updated April 5 showing a 23°C high for London on April 8 under initially sunny skies turning to intervals, driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and low rain risk (<5%). This follows early April's rainy start, with recent GFS and ECMWF runs converging on above-average warmth—well beyond the 13–14°C April climatological mean—due to clear skies maximizing midday solar insolation and subsidence suppressing clouds. Tight odds reflect 1–2°C ensemble spreads from model discrepancies in ridge positioning and afternoon cloudiness; daily updates from NOAA and UKMO through April 7 could refine trajectories, as short-range forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from evolving upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$11,824End Date
Apr 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 23°C at 30.5%, 22°C at 27%, and 21°C at 21.5%, mirrors the latest Met Office forecast updated April 5 showing a 23°C high for London on April 8 under initially sunny skies turning to intervals, driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and low rain risk (<5%). This follows early April's rainy start, with recent GFS and ECMWF runs converging on above-average warmth—well beyond the 13–14°C April climatological mean—due to clear skies maximizing midday solar insolation and subsidence suppressing clouds. Tight odds reflect 1–2°C ensemble spreads from model discrepancies in ridge positioning and afternoon cloudiness; daily updates from NOAA and UKMO through April 7 could refine trajectories, as short-range forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from evolving upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,824End Date
Apr 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 23°C at 30.5%, 22°C at 27%, and 21°C at 21.5%, mirrors the latest Met Office forecast updated April 5 showing a 23°C high for London on April 8 under initially sunny skies turning to intervals, driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and low rain risk (<5%). This follows early April's rainy start, with recent GFS and ECMWF runs converging on above-average warmth—well beyond the 13–14°C April climatological mean—due to clear skies maximizing midday solar insolation and subsidence suppressing clouds. Tight odds reflect 1–2°C ensemble spreads from model discrepancies in ridge positioning and afternoon cloudiness; daily updates from NOAA and UKMO through April 7 could refine trajectories, as short-range forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from evolving upper-air patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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