Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 78-79°F in Denver on March 30, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) sensors, which recorded the daily peak within this bin via automated surface observing system data. This outcome caps a record-shattering March heat wave—earlier highs hit 87°F on March 25 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge—but moderated as steering winds shifted, introducing higher clouds and gusts under a Red Flag Warning for fire weather. Supporting evidence includes hourly METAR reports confirming no exceedance, aligning with NOAA's daily climatological summary. Realistic challenges are minimal post-release, limited to rare data audits or sensor recalibrations, though historical precedents show such revisions occur in under 1% of cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 30?
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$67,161 Vol.
$67,161 Vol.
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$67,161 Vol.
$67,161 Vol.
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 78-79°F in Denver on March 30, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) sensors, which recorded the daily peak within this bin via automated surface observing system data. This outcome caps a record-shattering March heat wave—earlier highs hit 87°F on March 25 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge—but moderated as steering winds shifted, introducing higher clouds and gusts under a Red Flag Warning for fire weather. Supporting evidence includes hourly METAR reports confirming no exceedance, aligning with NOAA's daily climatological summary. Realistic challenges are minimal post-release, limited to rare data audits or sensor recalibrations, though historical precedents show such revisions occur in under 1% of cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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