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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

30°C 27%

29°C 26%

31°C 18%

28°C 13%

Polymarket

$24,979 Vol.

30°C 27%

29°C 26%

31°C 18%

28°C 13%

Polymarket

$24,979 Vol.

23°C or below

$3,971 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$2,359 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,895 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$3,428 Vol.

1%

27°C

$1,593 Vol.

4%

28°C

$1,395 Vol.

13%

29°C

$1,911 Vol.

26%

30°C

$1,872 Vol.

27%

31°C

$1,478 Vol.

18%

32°C

$2,187 Vol.

13%

33°C or higher

$2,940 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), ECMWF, and GFS project Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on March 29 clustering between 28°C and 31°C, reflected in trader consensus with 29°C (24.5% implied probability) narrowly ahead of 30°C (23.0%) and 28°C (19.0%). A stubborn high-pressure ridge over southern South America is advecting warm subtropical air masses, elevating highs 5-7°C above the late-March climatological norm of 24°C under neutral ENSO conditions, following March 27's observed 29°C peak. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon sea-breeze timing from the Río de la Plata—which could cap peaks at 28-29°C—and potential cloud development muting GFS-favored intensification to 31°C or higher versus steadier ECMWF runs. Hourly SMN updates and real-time observations today will sharpen these odds amid short-term weather uncertainty.

Ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), ECMWF, and GFS project Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on March 29 clustering between 28°C and 31°C, reflected in trader consensus with 29°C (24.5% implied probability) narrowly ahead of 30°C (23.0%) and 28°C (19.0%). A stubborn high-pressure ridge over southern South America is advecting warm subtropical air masses, elevating highs 5-7°C above the late-March climatological norm of 24°C under neutral ENSO conditions, following March 27's observed 29°C peak. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon sea-breeze timing from the Río de la Plata—which could cap peaks at 28-29°C—and potential cloud development muting GFS-favored intensification to 31°C or higher versus steadier ECMWF runs. Hourly SMN updates and real-time observations today will sharpen these odds amid short-term weather uncertainty.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), ECMWF, and GFS project Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on March 29 clustering between 28°C and 31°C, reflected in trader consensus with 29°C (24.5% implied probability) narrowly ahead of 30°C (23.0%) and 28°C (19.0%). A stubborn high-pressure ridge over southern South America is advecting warm subtropical air masses, elevating highs 5-7°C above the late-March climatological norm of 24°C under neutral ENSO conditions, following March 27's observed 29°C peak. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon sea-breeze timing from the Río de la Plata—which could cap peaks at 28-29°C—and potential cloud development muting GFS-favored intensification to 31°C or higher versus steadier ECMWF runs. Hourly SMN updates and real-time observations today will sharpen these odds amid short-term weather uncertainty.

Ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), ECMWF, and GFS project Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on March 29 clustering between 28°C and 31°C, reflected in trader consensus with 29°C (24.5% implied probability) narrowly ahead of 30°C (23.0%) and 28°C (19.0%). A stubborn high-pressure ridge over southern South America is advecting warm subtropical air masses, elevating highs 5-7°C above the late-March climatological norm of 24°C under neutral ENSO conditions, following March 27's observed 29°C peak. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon sea-breeze timing from the Río de la Plata—which could cap peaks at 28-29°C—and potential cloud development muting GFS-favored intensification to 31°C or higher versus steadier ECMWF runs. Hourly SMN updates and real-time observations today will sharpen these odds amid short-term weather uncertainty.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30°C" at 27%, followed by "29°C" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" has generated $25K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" is "30°C" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.