Latest short-range forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS point to a maximum temperature near 20°C in Buenos Aires on April 6, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from an approaching low-pressure system, limiting solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–21°C due to uncertainty in afternoon convection timing—earlier thunderstorms could cap peaks at 18–19°C via convective inhibition, while brief sun breaks might allow 20–21°C amid mild easterly winds and sea-breeze moderation. April climatology averages 22°C highs, but current upper-level ridging and recent frontal passage favor cooler outcomes. Watch SMN's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 6?
20°C 28%
19°C 22%
21°C 21%
18°C 20%
$17,581 Vol.
$17,581 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 28%
19°C 22%
21°C 21%
18°C 20%
$17,581 Vol.
$17,581 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS point to a maximum temperature near 20°C in Buenos Aires on April 6, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from an approaching low-pressure system, limiting solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–21°C due to uncertainty in afternoon convection timing—earlier thunderstorms could cap peaks at 18–19°C via convective inhibition, while brief sun breaks might allow 20–21°C amid mild easterly winds and sea-breeze moderation. April climatology averages 22°C highs, but current upper-level ridging and recent frontal passage favor cooler outcomes. Watch SMN's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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