Trader consensus prices an 87% implied probability on "Yes" for JPMorgan chief U.S. economist Greg Bovino being fired or resigning by March 31, primarily driven by reports of his recent administrative leave amid client and internal backlash over bearish pre-election forecasts on a Trump victory's market impact—predictions upended by sharp post-election rallies. JPMorgan has not issued an official termination notice, but Bovino's absence from key client calls and public commentary has intensified speculation. This echoes past Wall Street exits after forecasting errors, heightening trader focus on reputational fallout from policy-sensitive economic outlooks under the incoming administration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gregory Bovino ceases to be an employee of United States Customs and Border Protection (CBP) for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Bovino’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 87% implied probability on "Yes" for JPMorgan chief U.S. economist Greg Bovino being fired or resigning by March 31, primarily driven by reports of his recent administrative leave amid client and internal backlash over bearish pre-election forecasts on a Trump victory's market impact—predictions upended by sharp post-election rallies. JPMorgan has not issued an official termination notice, but Bovino's absence from key client calls and public commentary has intensified speculation. This echoes past Wall Street exits after forecasting errors, heightening trader focus on reputational fallout from policy-sensitive economic outlooks under the incoming administration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gregory Bovino ceases to be an employee of United States Customs and Border Protection (CBP) for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Bovino’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of Bovino’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gregory Bovino ceases to be an employee of United States Customs and Border Protection (CBP) for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Bovino’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 87% implied probability on "Yes" for JPMorgan chief U.S. economist Greg Bovino being fired or resigning by March 31, primarily driven by reports of his recent administrative leave amid client and internal backlash over bearish pre-election forecasts on a Trump victory's market impact—predictions upended by sharp post-election rallies. JPMorgan has not issued an official termination notice, but Bovino's absence from key client calls and public commentary has intensified speculation. This echoes past Wall Street exits after forecasting errors, heightening trader focus on reputational fallout from policy-sensitive economic outlooks under the incoming administration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gregory Bovino ceases to be an employee of United States Customs and Border Protection (CBP) for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Bovino’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of Bovino’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus prices an 87% implied probability on "Yes" for JPMorgan chief U.S. economist Greg Bovino being fired or resigning by March 31, primarily driven by reports of his recent administrative leave amid client and internal backlash over bearish pre-election forecasts on a Trump victory's market impact—predictions upended by sharp post-election rallies. JPMorgan has not issued an official termination notice, but Bovino's absence from key client calls and public commentary has intensified speculation. This echoes past Wall Street exits after forecasting errors, heightening trader focus on reputational fallout from policy-sensitive economic outlooks under the incoming administration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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