Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,698.50 on the final trading day of March 2026, capping a volatile month with a roughly 15% decline from January peaks above $5,600 amid a surging U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields climbing toward 4.8%. Markets priced zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026 following sticky inflation readings like February CPI at 3.2%, overpowering safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases. A late-March rally off the 50-week moving average accelerated on falling yields, highlighting gold's sensitivity to real interest rates. Traders eye April nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC for policy signals shaping Q2 pricing dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGold (GC) above ___ end of March?
Gold (GC) above ___ end of March?
$244,873 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$7,000
No
$6,500
No
$6,000
No
$5,800
No
$5,600
No
$5,400
No
$5,200
No
$5,000
No
$4,800
No
$4,600
Yes
$4,400
Yes
$4,000
Yes
$244,873 Vol.
$7,000
$16,633 Vol.
No
$6,500
$7,657 Vol.
No
$6,000
$20,864 Vol.
No
$5,800
$33,174 Vol.
No
$5,600
$6,512 Vol.
No
$5,400
$46,096 Vol.
No
$5,200
$5,708 Vol.
No
$5,000
$13,443 Vol.
No
$4,800
$16,616 Vol.
No
$4,600
$62,840 Vol.
Yes
$4,400
$4,349 Vol.
Yes
$4,000
$10,982 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,698.50 on the final trading day of March 2026, capping a volatile month with a roughly 15% decline from January peaks above $5,600 amid a surging U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields climbing toward 4.8%. Markets priced zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026 following sticky inflation readings like February CPI at 3.2%, overpowering safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases. A late-March rally off the 50-week moving average accelerated on falling yields, highlighting gold's sensitivity to real interest rates. Traders eye April nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC for policy signals shaping Q2 pricing dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$244,873End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,698.50 on the final trading day of March 2026, capping a volatile month with a roughly 15% decline from January peaks above $5,600 amid a surging U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields climbing toward 4.8%. Markets priced zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026 following sticky inflation readings like February CPI at 3.2%, overpowering safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases. A late-March rally off the 50-week moving average accelerated on falling yields, highlighting gold's sensitivity to real interest rates. Traders eye April nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC for policy signals shaping Q2 pricing dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$244,873End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,698.50 on the final trading day of March 2026, capping a volatile month with a roughly 15% decline from January peaks above $5,600 amid a surging U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields climbing toward 4.8%. Markets priced zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026 following sticky inflation readings like February CPI at 3.2%, overpowering safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases. A late-March rally off the 50-week moving average accelerated on falling yields, highlighting gold's sensitivity to real interest rates. Traders eye April nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC for policy signals shaping Q2 pricing dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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