Gemini 3.0 released by...?
$16,436,362 Vol.
OUTCOMERESULT
August 31
$135,032 Vol.
No
August 31
$135,032 Vol.
No
September 30
$85,242 Vol.
No
September 30
$85,242 Vol.
No
October 15
$867,420 Vol.
No
October 15
$867,420 Vol.
No
October 31
$2,951,588 Vol.
No
October 31
$2,951,588 Vol.
No
November 15
$3,759,910 Vol.
No
November 15
$3,759,910 Vol.
No
November 22
$3,032,166 Vol.
Yes
November 22
$3,032,166 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$4,626,435 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$4,626,435 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$978,569 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$978,569 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Aug 7, 2025, 8:41 PM
Volume
$16,436,362End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Aug 7, 2025, 8:41 PMResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$16,436,362 Vol.
Gemini 3.0 released by...?
August 31
$135,032 Vol.
No
September 30
$85,242 Vol.
No
October 15
$867,420 Vol.
No
October 31
$2,951,588 Vol.
No
November 15
$3,759,910 Vol.
No
November 22
$3,032,166 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$4,626,435 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$978,569 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$16,436,362End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Aug 7, 2025, 8:41 PMResolver
0x157Ce2d67...


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