Trader consensus on Polymarket prices June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight $4,200-$5,400 range, with the top three outcomes at 18.9%, 17.5%, and 16.3% implied probabilities reflecting post-March volatility where spot gold plunged 11-14% amid hawkish Federal Reserve signals and oil-driven inflation fears from Middle East tensions, eroding rate-cut expectations. Early April's sharp rebound toward $4,700—bolstered by softer dollar and China PMI strength—has stabilized futures near $4,750, but elevated real yields on 10-year Treasuries and persistent CPI pressures maintain caution. Key differentiators include upcoming FOMC meetings and April CPI data, which could sway sentiment between safe-haven flows and opportunity costs of non-yielding bullion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,200-$4,600 18.9%
$4,600-$5,000 18%
$5,000-$5,400 15.8%
$3,800-$4,200 13.0%
$857,890 Vol.
$857,890 Vol.
<$3,800
9%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
19%
$4,600-$5,000
18%
$5,000-$5,400
16%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
8%
>$6,200
9%
$4,200-$4,600 18.9%
$4,600-$5,000 18%
$5,000-$5,400 15.8%
$3,800-$4,200 13.0%
$857,890 Vol.
$857,890 Vol.
<$3,800
9%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
19%
$4,600-$5,000
18%
$5,000-$5,400
16%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
8%
>$6,200
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight $4,200-$5,400 range, with the top three outcomes at 18.9%, 17.5%, and 16.3% implied probabilities reflecting post-March volatility where spot gold plunged 11-14% amid hawkish Federal Reserve signals and oil-driven inflation fears from Middle East tensions, eroding rate-cut expectations. Early April's sharp rebound toward $4,700—bolstered by softer dollar and China PMI strength—has stabilized futures near $4,750, but elevated real yields on 10-year Treasuries and persistent CPI pressures maintain caution. Key differentiators include upcoming FOMC meetings and April CPI data, which could sway sentiment between safe-haven flows and opportunity costs of non-yielding bullion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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