Trader sentiment on Polymarket for gold futures (GC) by June's end tilts bullish, with implied probabilities favoring prices above $2,400/oz amid persistent Fed rate cut expectations and a softening U.S. dollar. Spot gold recently touched record highs near $2,450 before pulling back to around $2,330, supported by central bank buying—especially from China—and safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions. Key dynamics include inverse correlation to real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.1%) and DXY weakness below 105. Watch June 12 CPI release and FOMC meeting for catalysts; hotter inflation could cap upside, while sub-3% core prints boost odds of September cuts, lifting GC toward $2,500 consensus forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
$2,073,366 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
11%
↑ $6,000
13%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
29%
↓ $4,200
65%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ $3,400
7%
$2,073,366 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
11%
↑ $6,000
13%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
29%
↓ $4,200
65%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ $3,400
7%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for gold futures (GC) by June's end tilts bullish, with implied probabilities favoring prices above $2,400/oz amid persistent Fed rate cut expectations and a softening U.S. dollar. Spot gold recently touched record highs near $2,450 before pulling back to around $2,330, supported by central bank buying—especially from China—and safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions. Key dynamics include inverse correlation to real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.1%) and DXY weakness below 105. Watch June 12 CPI release and FOMC meeting for catalysts; hotter inflation could cap upside, while sub-3% core prints boost odds of September cuts, lifting GC toward $2,500 consensus forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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