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Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

$78,604 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$78,604 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Finland

$12,733 Vol.

70%

Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

France

$4,115 Vol.

41%

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Australia

$1,950 Vol.

39%

Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Greece

$15,046 Vol.

37%

Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Denmark

$7,507 Vol.

35%

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Israel

$3,980 Vol.

32%

Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Sweden

$664 Vol.

23%

Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Romania

$3,504 Vol.

18%

Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Ukraine

$4,215 Vol.

15%

Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Italy

$1,077 Vol.

22%

Will Serbia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Serbia

$175 Vol.

13%

Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Latvia

$275 Vol.

12%

Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Croatia

$145 Vol.

11%

Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Norway

$669 Vol.

10%

Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Albania

$250 Vol.

11%

Will Belgium be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Belgium

$406 Vol.

9%

Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Bulgaria

$132 Vol.

9%

Will Armenia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Armenia

$544 Vol.

8%

Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Georgia

$14,971 Vol.

8%

Will San Marino be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

San Marino

$395 Vol.

7%

Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Cyprus

$448 Vol.

7%

Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Moldova

$127 Vol.

17%

Will Estonia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Estonia

$61 Vol.

6%

Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Poland

$383 Vol.

6%

Will Switzerland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Switzerland

$153 Vol.

5%

Will Czechia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Czechia

$177 Vol.

12%

Will United Kingdom be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

United Kingdom

$112 Vol.

10%

Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Lithuania

$437 Vol.

5%

Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Malta

$1,048 Vol.

4%

Will Montenegro be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Montenegro

$391 Vol.

3%

Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Portugal

$345 Vol.

3%

Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Germany

$924 Vol.

3%

Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Azerbaijan

$925 Vol.

3%

Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Austria

$302 Vol.

2%

Will Luxembourg be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Luxembourg

$18 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus for a top-3 finish at Eurovision 2026 with their violin-driven dance-pop entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by dominant early betting odds, massive poll leads from over 50,000 votes, and broad appeal blending jury-friendly craftsmanship with televote energy following national selection triumphs in late February and March. France's Monroe ("Look!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund hold strong challenger positions amid surging fan buzz, while Israel's Noam Bettan climbs rapidly on recent Oddschecker shifts and diaspora support. All 35 songs now released ahead of Vienna rehearsals, with semi-finals May 12/14 and final May 16—live performances, precursor previews, and jury-televote splits will dictate final positioning in this high-stakes, crowd-sourced sentiment race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$78,604
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus for a top-3 finish at Eurovision 2026 with their violin-driven dance-pop entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by dominant early betting odds, massive poll leads from over 50,000 votes, and broad appeal blending jury-friendly craftsmanship with televote energy following national selection triumphs in late February and March. France's Monroe ("Look!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund hold strong challenger positions amid surging fan buzz, while Israel's Noam Bettan climbs rapidly on recent Oddschecker shifts and diaspora support. All 35 songs now released ahead of Vienna rehearsals, with semi-finals May 12/14 and final May 16—live performances, precursor previews, and jury-televote splits will dictate final positioning in this high-stakes, crowd-sourced sentiment race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$78,604
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 70%, followed by "France" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" has generated $78.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 3," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is "Finland" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.