Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 top 10 heavily favors perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Italy, Ukraine, and the other Big 5 nations (France, Germany, Spain, UK), with implied probabilities above 60% for most due to auto-qualification to the grand final and strong historical voting blocs. Recent Eurovision 2025 previews highlight Switzerland as host, but its winner will determine 2026's venue—potentially boosting a Nordic or Eastern European act with home crowd energy. National selections kick off in late 2025, serving as key catalysts; watch for viral song teases or artist announcements from Sweden's Melodifestivalen or Ukraine's Vidbir. Geopolitical sentiment and streaming virality remain wild cards, as juries and televotes often diverge sharply from early buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$48,177 Vol.

Finland
91%

Greece
83%

Israel
81%

Sweden
73%

Denmark
81%

France
78%

Ukraine
75%

Australia
64%

Italy
65%

Czechia
35%

Bulgaria
39%

Cyprus
42%

Moldova
40%

Croatia
35%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Luxembourg
16%

Romania
23%

Norway
22%

United Kingdom
27%

Lithuania
19%

Switzerland
19%

Albania
18%

Georgia
18%

Montenegro
18%

Belgium
18%

Serbia
17%

Armenia
15%

Germany
14%

Portugal
14%

Poland
12%

San Marino
11%

Estonia
9%

Azerbaijan
9%

Austria
9%
$48,177 Vol.

Finland
91%

Greece
83%

Israel
81%

Sweden
73%

Denmark
81%

France
78%

Ukraine
75%

Australia
64%

Italy
65%

Czechia
35%

Bulgaria
39%

Cyprus
42%

Moldova
40%

Croatia
35%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Luxembourg
16%

Romania
23%

Norway
22%

United Kingdom
27%

Lithuania
19%

Switzerland
19%

Albania
18%

Georgia
18%

Montenegro
18%

Belgium
18%

Serbia
17%

Armenia
15%

Germany
14%

Portugal
14%

Poland
12%

San Marino
11%

Estonia
9%

Azerbaijan
9%

Austria
9%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 top 10 heavily favors perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Italy, Ukraine, and the other Big 5 nations (France, Germany, Spain, UK), with implied probabilities above 60% for most due to auto-qualification to the grand final and strong historical voting blocs. Recent Eurovision 2025 previews highlight Switzerland as host, but its winner will determine 2026's venue—potentially boosting a Nordic or Eastern European act with home crowd energy. National selections kick off in late 2025, serving as key catalysts; watch for viral song teases or artist announcements from Sweden's Melodifestivalen or Ukraine's Vidbir. Geopolitical sentiment and streaming virality remain wild cards, as juries and televotes often diverge sharply from early buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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