Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1240-1399 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, implying 40-45 posts per day over 31 days, directly echoing March 2026's resolved 1320-1359 total amid his signature high-volume social media presence as a pop culture lightning rod. Recent xTracker data shows a slight early-April dip to a 35-tweet daily average through April 2, versus March's 43-per-day pace, fostering tight competition across top bins as traders weigh potential normalization. Key differentiators include Musk's event-responsive posting—spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or viral political takes—against quieter periods, with historical weekly swings of 30-50 tweets underscoring the market's fragmented, skin-in-the-game uncertainty ahead of May's unfolding news cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated1240-1279 7.5%
1360-1399 7.4%
1320-1359 6.3%
1400-1439 6.0%
$44,383 Vol.
$44,383 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
2%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
4%
1160-1199
5%
1200-1239
5%
1240-1279
7%
1280-1319
6%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480-1519
5%
1520-1559
5%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
5%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
1%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
1%
1240-1279 7.5%
1360-1399 7.4%
1320-1359 6.3%
1400-1439 6.0%
$44,383 Vol.
$44,383 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
2%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
4%
1160-1199
5%
1200-1239
5%
1240-1279
7%
1280-1319
6%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480-1519
5%
1520-1559
5%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
5%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
1%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1240-1399 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, implying 40-45 posts per day over 31 days, directly echoing March 2026's resolved 1320-1359 total amid his signature high-volume social media presence as a pop culture lightning rod. Recent xTracker data shows a slight early-April dip to a 35-tweet daily average through April 2, versus March's 43-per-day pace, fostering tight competition across top bins as traders weigh potential normalization. Key differentiators include Musk's event-responsive posting—spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or viral political takes—against quieter periods, with historical weekly swings of 30-50 tweets underscoring the market's fragmented, skin-in-the-game uncertainty ahead of May's unfolding news cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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