Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

240-259 13%

220-239 12%

260-279 12%

280-299 12%

Polymarket

$3,638,779 Vol.

240-259 13%

220-239 12%

260-279 12%

280-299 12%

Polymarket

$3,638,779 Vol.

<20

$354,101 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$2,546,019 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$66,515 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$51,581 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$59,769 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$32,084 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$34,623 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$32,326 Vol.

1%

160-179

$25,315 Vol.

2%

180-199

$22,944 Vol.

5%

200-219

$21,351 Vol.

8%

220-239

$29,742 Vol.

12%

240-259

$24,278 Vol.

13%

260-279

$26,561 Vol.

12%

280-299

$20,872 Vol.

12%

300-319

$19,851 Vol.

10%

320-339

$14,625 Vol.

9%

340-359

$15,772 Vol.

7%

360-379

$14,169 Vol.

5%

380-399

$19,096 Vol.

3%

400-419

$12,503 Vol.

3%

420-439

$12,714 Vol.

2%

440-459

$13,739 Vol.

1%

460-479

$13,898 Vol.

1%

480-499

$15,277 Vol.

1%

500-519

$20,329 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$21,674 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$21,408 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$21,741 Vol.

<1%

580+

$53,941 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 (12.5%) edging 220-239 (12%) and the 260-279/280-299 ranges (11.5% each), mirroring his recent weekly averages of 250-350 posts drawn from high-volume periods like last week's 364 total. This tight contest stems from Elon's volatile posting patterns—steady 20-50 daily bursts tied to Tesla FSD updates, Grok advancements, and political jabs, as seen in March 24-30's acceleration to 52 posts on March 29 amid accelerating pace. Key swings hinge on viral news cycles or SpaceX milestones sparking reply chains, though lulls remain possible; traders eye real-time pace as the April 7 close nears, underscoring prediction markets' crowd wisdom on celebrity social media rhythms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,638,779
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 (12.5%) edging 220-239 (12%) and the 260-279/280-299 ranges (11.5% each), mirroring his recent weekly averages of 250-350 posts drawn from high-volume periods like last week's 364 total. This tight contest stems from Elon's volatile posting patterns—steady 20-50 daily bursts tied to Tesla FSD updates, Grok advancements, and political jabs, as seen in March 24-30's acceleration to 52 posts on March 29 amid accelerating pace. Key swings hinge on viral news cycles or SpaceX milestones sparking reply chains, though lulls remain possible; traders eye real-time pace as the April 7 close nears, underscoring prediction markets' crowd wisdom on celebrity social media rhythms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,638,779
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "240-259" at 13%, followed by "220-239" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?" has generated $3.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is "240-259" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "220-239" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.