Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet volume market for March 31–April 7 reflects tight competition among 260–319 post ranges at 11.5% implied probabilities each, mirroring his recent weekly pace of around 270 posts resolved in the prior March 20–27 period and consistent 43–46 daily averages amid ongoing political engagement and xAI updates. This clustering stems from Elon's variable posting patterns, amplified by viral social media interactions, replies to critics, and cultural flashpoints like AI debates, which drove spikes in earlier 2026 weeks exceeding 340. Key swing factors include the April 2 Starlink launch, potential DOGE policy announcements, and real-time news cycles that could push toward 320+ or dip below 260 if focus shifts to Tesla deliverables. Markets highlight the wisdom of crowds pricing in his unpredictable pop culture dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$129,576 Vol.
$129,576 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
4%
440-459
3%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$129,576 Vol.
$129,576 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
4%
440-459
3%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet volume market for March 31–April 7 reflects tight competition among 260–319 post ranges at 11.5% implied probabilities each, mirroring his recent weekly pace of around 270 posts resolved in the prior March 20–27 period and consistent 43–46 daily averages amid ongoing political engagement and xAI updates. This clustering stems from Elon's variable posting patterns, amplified by viral social media interactions, replies to critics, and cultural flashpoints like AI debates, which drove spikes in earlier 2026 weeks exceeding 340. Key swing factors include the April 2 Starlink launch, potential DOGE policy announcements, and real-time news cycles that could push toward 320+ or dip below 260 if focus shifts to Tesla deliverables. Markets highlight the wisdom of crowds pricing in his unpredictable pop culture dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions