Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around the 260-319 tweet range at over 30% combined, reflecting Elon Musk's recent X posting surge to 35-45 posts daily, as evidenced by his 168 tweets over four days ending March 23 amid DOGE government efficiency push and viral political memes. This pace, up from 25-30 daily in mid-March precursors, stems from heightened public engagement on Trump administration roles, Tesla updates, and platform controversies, driving cultural buzz. Closely matched top bins highlight uncertainty from potential catalysts like SpaceX announcements or feuds that could spike volume past 340, versus quieter business focus dropping below 260; watch April 1-3 for early momentum shifts before chart lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 11%
320-339 11%
$1,911,228 Vol.
$1,911,228 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
4%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 11%
320-339 11%
$1,911,228 Vol.
$1,911,228 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
4%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around the 260-319 tweet range at over 30% combined, reflecting Elon Musk's recent X posting surge to 35-45 posts daily, as evidenced by his 168 tweets over four days ending March 23 amid DOGE government efficiency push and viral political memes. This pace, up from 25-30 daily in mid-March precursors, stems from heightened public engagement on Trump administration roles, Tesla updates, and platform controversies, driving cultural buzz. Closely matched top bins highlight uncertainty from potential catalysts like SpaceX announcements or feuds that could spike volume past 340, versus quieter business focus dropping below 260; watch April 1-3 for early momentum shifts before chart lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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