Trader consensus strongly favors the 65-89 tweet range at 83% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from March 30 to April 1, driven by real-time trackers confirming around 80 posts as the three-day window nears completion, aligning with his established cadence of 25-30 daily posts amid steady political replies and tech commentary. Absent major catalysts like product announcements or viral controversies in the past 48 hours—unlike prior weeks with election buzz—his engagement has remained moderate, echoing resolved Polymarket bins around 200-220 for seven-day stretches. With the period ending at noon ET on April 1, a late surge could push toward 90-114 (17.5%), but skin-in-the-game bets reflect confidence in this cultural firehose's predictable flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated65-89 86%
90-114 14.1%
115-139 <1%
140-164 <1%
$1,999,175 Vol.
$1,999,175 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
65-89
86%
90-114
14%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 86%
90-114 14.1%
115-139 <1%
140-164 <1%
$1,999,175 Vol.
$1,999,175 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
65-89
$222,957 Vol.
86%
90-114
$270,293 Vol.
14%
115-139
$252,020 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$173,525 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$156,440 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$83,014 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$52,244 Vol.
<1%
240+
$65,506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus strongly favors the 65-89 tweet range at 83% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from March 30 to April 1, driven by real-time trackers confirming around 80 posts as the three-day window nears completion, aligning with his established cadence of 25-30 daily posts amid steady political replies and tech commentary. Absent major catalysts like product announcements or viral controversies in the past 48 hours—unlike prior weeks with election buzz—his engagement has remained moderate, echoing resolved Polymarket bins around 200-220 for seven-day stretches. With the period ending at noon ET on April 1, a late surge could push toward 90-114 (17.5%), but skin-in-the-game bets reflect confidence in this cultural firehose's predictable flow.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,999,175End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus strongly favors the 65-89 tweet range at 83% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from March 30 to April 1, driven by real-time trackers confirming around 80 posts as the three-day window nears completion, aligning with his established cadence of 25-30 daily posts amid steady political replies and tech commentary. Absent major catalysts like product announcements or viral controversies in the past 48 hours—unlike prior weeks with election buzz—his engagement has remained moderate, echoing resolved Polymarket bins around 200-220 for seven-day stretches. With the period ending at noon ET on April 1, a late surge could push toward 90-114 (17.5%), but skin-in-the-game bets reflect confidence in this cultural firehose's predictable flow.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,999,175End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors the 65-89 tweet range at 83% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from March 30 to April 1, driven by real-time trackers confirming around 80 posts as the three-day window nears completion, aligning with his established cadence of 25-30 daily posts amid steady political replies and tech commentary. Absent major catalysts like product announcements or viral controversies in the past 48 hours—unlike prior weeks with election buzz—his engagement has remained moderate, echoing resolved Polymarket bins around 200-220 for seven-day stretches. With the period ending at noon ET on April 1, a late surge could push toward 90-114 (17.5%), but skin-in-the-game bets reflect confidence in this cultural firehose's predictable flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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