Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 30 to April 1 at 57% implied probability, reflecting a recent sharp slowdown to just 13 posts on March 29 after busier days like 71 on March 27 and an overall March average near 30 daily. This moderation aligns with fluctuating engagement patterns tied to viral moments around SpaceX Starship updates, quantum cryptography threats to Bitcoin, and Tesla Cybertruck material debates, tempering expectations from his typical 60-100 daily tweets amid DOGE advisory duties and platform ownership. With March 31 already showing steady activity and April 1 posts pending, a rebound in replies or memes could push toward 90-114 (25.3%), but current low momentum keeps higher buckets slim.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated65-89 56%
90-114 23.8%
40-64 13%
115-139 4.5%
$740,640 Vol.
$740,640 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
13%
65-89
56%
90-114
24%
115-139
4%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 56%
90-114 23.8%
40-64 13%
115-139 4.5%
$740,640 Vol.
$740,640 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<40
$187,937 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$86,947 Vol.
13%
65-89
$55,683 Vol.
56%
90-114
$57,784 Vol.
24%
115-139
$36,085 Vol.
4%
140-164
$64,351 Vol.
1%
165-189
$80,800 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$70,077 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$43,152 Vol.
<1%
240+
$59,193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 30 to April 1 at 57% implied probability, reflecting a recent sharp slowdown to just 13 posts on March 29 after busier days like 71 on March 27 and an overall March average near 30 daily. This moderation aligns with fluctuating engagement patterns tied to viral moments around SpaceX Starship updates, quantum cryptography threats to Bitcoin, and Tesla Cybertruck material debates, tempering expectations from his typical 60-100 daily tweets amid DOGE advisory duties and platform ownership. With March 31 already showing steady activity and April 1 posts pending, a rebound in replies or memes could push toward 90-114 (25.3%), but current low momentum keeps higher buckets slim.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$740,640End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 30 to April 1 at 57% implied probability, reflecting a recent sharp slowdown to just 13 posts on March 29 after busier days like 71 on March 27 and an overall March average near 30 daily. This moderation aligns with fluctuating engagement patterns tied to viral moments around SpaceX Starship updates, quantum cryptography threats to Bitcoin, and Tesla Cybertruck material debates, tempering expectations from his typical 60-100 daily tweets amid DOGE advisory duties and platform ownership. With March 31 already showing steady activity and April 1 posts pending, a rebound in replies or memes could push toward 90-114 (25.3%), but current low momentum keeps higher buckets slim.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$740,640End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 30 to April 1 at 57% implied probability, reflecting a recent sharp slowdown to just 13 posts on March 29 after busier days like 71 on March 27 and an overall March average near 30 daily. This moderation aligns with fluctuating engagement patterns tied to viral moments around SpaceX Starship updates, quantum cryptography threats to Bitcoin, and Tesla Cybertruck material debates, tempering expectations from his typical 60-100 daily tweets amid DOGE advisory duties and platform ownership. With March 31 already showing steady activity and April 1 posts pending, a rebound in replies or memes could push toward 90-114 (25.3%), but current low momentum keeps higher buckets slim.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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