Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 21-23, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume X activity averaging 25-40 posts daily amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments. Recent data shows consistent output—around 80-120 over similar three-day spans in 2024—bolstered by cultural fixation on his real-time commentary during tech launches and political discourse, keeping implied odds locked at 100% for this bin. An upset could arise from a major event like a Starship test or controversy spiking to 200+, or a rare quiet period (e.g., travel or policy shift) dropping below 90, though historical precedents make these low-probability outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 23, 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
No
90-114
Yes
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 23, 2026
<40
$0 Vol.
No
40-64
$0 Vol.
No
65-89
$0 Vol.
No
90-114
$0 Vol.
Yes
115-139
$0 Vol.
No
140-164
$0 Vol.
No
165-189
$0 Vol.
No
190-214
$0 Vol.
No
215-239
$0 Vol.
No
240+
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 21 12:00 PM ET to March 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 21-23, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume X activity averaging 25-40 posts daily amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments. Recent data shows consistent output—around 80-120 over similar three-day spans in 2024—bolstered by cultural fixation on his real-time commentary during tech launches and political discourse, keeping implied odds locked at 100% for this bin. An upset could arise from a major event like a Starship test or controversy spiking to 200+, or a rare quiet period (e.g., travel or policy shift) dropping below 90, though historical precedents make these low-probability outliers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 21 12:00 PM ET to March 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 23, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 21 12:00 PM ET to March 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 21-23, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume X activity averaging 25-40 posts daily amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments. Recent data shows consistent output—around 80-120 over similar three-day spans in 2024—bolstered by cultural fixation on his real-time commentary during tech launches and political discourse, keeping implied odds locked at 100% for this bin. An upset could arise from a major event like a Starship test or controversy spiking to 200+, or a rare quiet period (e.g., travel or policy shift) dropping below 90, though historical precedents make these low-probability outliers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 21 12:00 PM ET to March 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 23, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 21-23, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume X activity averaging 25-40 posts daily amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments. Recent data shows consistent output—around 80-120 over similar three-day spans in 2024—bolstered by cultural fixation on his real-time commentary during tech launches and political discourse, keeping implied odds locked at 100% for this bin. An upset could arise from a major event like a Starship test or controversy spiking to 200+, or a rare quiet period (e.g., travel or policy shift) dropping below 90, though historical precedents make these low-probability outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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