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Democratic VP nominee?

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Democratic VP nominee?

Tim Walz 100.0%

Other Man (Incl. Peters) <1%

Other Woman <1%

Mark Cuban <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 Vol.

Tim Walz 100.0%

Other Man (Incl. Peters) <1%

Other Woman <1%

Mark Cuban <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 Vol.

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Other Man (Incl. Peters)

$5,287,493 Vol.

No

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Other Woman

$3,398,043 Vol.

No

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Mark Cuban

$2,283,640 Vol.

No

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Tim Ryan

$1,416,479 Vol.

No

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Kamala Harris

$4,557,221 Vol.

No

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,023,366 Vol.

No

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Gretchen Whitmer

$5,769,374 Vol.

No

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Tammy Duckworth

$1,114,010 Vol.

No

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Gavin Newsom

$4,256,456 Vol.

No

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Raphael Warnock

$1,798,321 Vol.

No

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Michelle Obama

$6,557,746 Vol.

No

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Joe Biden

$1,726,224 Vol.

No

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Elizabeth Warren

$1,222,768 Vol.

No

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1,303,622 Vol.

No

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J. B. Pritzker

$5,844,374 Vol.

No

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Bernie Sanders

$1,042,389 Vol.

No

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Amy Klobuchar

$1,064,503 Vol.

No

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Hillary Clinton

$5,005,051 Vol.

No

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Roy Cooper

$5,206,054 Vol.

No

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Andy Beshear

$11,499,090 Vol.

No

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Tim Walz

$12,902,914 Vol.

Yes

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Barack Obama

$2,344,366 Vol.

No

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Tammy Baldwin

$1,056,841 Vol.

No

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Wes Moore

$2,649,254 Vol.

No

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Josh Shapiro

$16,505,097 Vol.

No

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Mark Kelly

$12,826,516 Vol.

No

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William McRaven

$838,220 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$128,499,432
End Date
Aug 22, 2024
Created At
Jul 3, 2024, 2:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic VP nominee?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tim Walz" at 100%, followed by "Other Man (Incl. Peters)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic VP nominee?" has generated $128.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic VP nominee?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic VP nominee?" is "Tim Walz" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Other Man (Incl. Peters)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic VP nominee?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.