Trader consensus on Polymarket implies modest odds for WTI Crude Oil (CL) surpassing $90 by June 30, driven primarily by surging US inventories—EIA data showed a 4.2 million barrel build last week, exceeding expectations—and China's economic slowdown curbing demand. Current front-month futures trade near $81.50, testing resistance at $85 amid OPEC+ signals of prolonged supply cuts through Q3, though compliance risks linger. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add upside tail risk, but recession fears cap gains. Key catalysts ahead: OPEC+ meeting June 2, weekly EIA reports, and June 12 FOMC policy update, where Fed signals could sway USD strength and oil sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,273,664 Vol.
↑ $200
11%
↑ $175
10%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
47%
↑ $110
53%
↑ $105
64%
↑ $100
70%
↓ $85
87%
↓ $80
75%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $55
15%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,273,664 Vol.
↑ $200
11%
↑ $175
10%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
47%
↑ $110
53%
↑ $105
64%
↑ $100
70%
↓ $85
87%
↓ $80
75%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $55
15%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies modest odds for WTI Crude Oil (CL) surpassing $90 by June 30, driven primarily by surging US inventories—EIA data showed a 4.2 million barrel build last week, exceeding expectations—and China's economic slowdown curbing demand. Current front-month futures trade near $81.50, testing resistance at $85 amid OPEC+ signals of prolonged supply cuts through Q3, though compliance risks linger. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add upside tail risk, but recession fears cap gains. Key catalysts ahead: OPEC+ meeting June 2, weekly EIA reports, and June 12 FOMC policy update, where Fed signals could sway USD strength and oil sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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