Trader consensus on Polymarket prices WTI crude oil (CL) exceeding $90 per barrel by June's end at just 12% implied probability, driven by current spot prices hovering around $83/bbl amid surging U.S. inventories—up 3.6 million barrels last week per EIA data—and softening global demand signals from China. Bearish pressures stem from OPEC+ adherence to planned output hikes, with no extension signaled ahead of their June 2 meeting, while Fed rate cut delays bolster the dollar, capping upside. Key watch: Tomorrow's EIA storage report and Baker Hughes rig count; a print above +2MM bbl could push odds sub-10%, underscoring supply glut risks versus geopolitical flare-ups as bullish wildcards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,227,471 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
66%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
69%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
20%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,227,471 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
66%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
69%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
20%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices WTI crude oil (CL) exceeding $90 per barrel by June's end at just 12% implied probability, driven by current spot prices hovering around $83/bbl amid surging U.S. inventories—up 3.6 million barrels last week per EIA data—and softening global demand signals from China. Bearish pressures stem from OPEC+ adherence to planned output hikes, with no extension signaled ahead of their June 2 meeting, while Fed rate cut delays bolster the dollar, capping upside. Key watch: Tomorrow's EIA storage report and Baker Hughes rig count; a print above +2MM bbl could push odds sub-10%, underscoring supply glut risks versus geopolitical flare-ups as bullish wildcards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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