WTI crude oil (CL) futures currently trade near $81.50, with Polymarket traders assigning low implied probabilities—around 20%—to hitting $90 by June 30, reflecting bearish sentiment anchored by OPEC+'s June 2 decision to unwind voluntary production cuts starting October amid ballooning global inventories. Recent EIA data showed a surprise 5.9 million barrel build last week, pressuring prices down 3% YTD, while softening Chinese demand and ample non-OPEC supply offset Middle East geopolitical premiums from Israel-Iran tensions. Key catalysts ahead include tomorrow's EIA storage report and potential Fed signals on rate cuts influencing economic growth; a sustained break above $83 could shift trader consensus toward upside resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,260,233 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
16%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
24%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
44%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
52%
↑ $105
64%
↑ $100
68%
↓ $85
91%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $55
18%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,260,233 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
16%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
24%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
44%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
52%
↑ $105
64%
↑ $100
68%
↓ $85
91%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $55
18%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures currently trade near $81.50, with Polymarket traders assigning low implied probabilities—around 20%—to hitting $90 by June 30, reflecting bearish sentiment anchored by OPEC+'s June 2 decision to unwind voluntary production cuts starting October amid ballooning global inventories. Recent EIA data showed a surprise 5.9 million barrel build last week, pressuring prices down 3% YTD, while softening Chinese demand and ample non-OPEC supply offset Middle East geopolitical premiums from Israel-Iran tensions. Key catalysts ahead include tomorrow's EIA storage report and potential Fed signals on rate cuts influencing economic growth; a sustained break above $83 could shift trader consensus toward upside resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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