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Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 53%

Flávio Bolsonaro 26.6%

Renan Santos 7.2%

Tarcisio de Freitas 6.6%

Polymarket

$15,954,864 Vol.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$15,954,864
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Created At
Sep 18, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 53%

Flávio Bolsonaro 26.6%

Renan Santos 7.2%

Tarcisio de Freitas 6.6%

Polymarket

$15,954,864 Vol.

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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$3,168,476 Vol.

53%

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Flávio Bolsonaro

$2,052,272 Vol.

27%

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Renan Santos

$1,547,891 Vol.

7%

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Tarcisio de Freitas

$2,107,689 Vol.

7%

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Ratinho Júnior

$1,508,098 Vol.

5%

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Fernando Haddad

$1,203,427 Vol.

2%

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Jair Bolsonaro

$1,423,276 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Bolsonaro

$1,545,630 Vol.

<1%

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Eduardo Bolsonaro

$1,398,104 Vol.

<1%

Related

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11%
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

81%
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Beware of external links.