Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 recently achieved 43.8% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-4—a rigorous benchmark of hundreds of expert-vetted, unpublished math problems spanning undergraduate to research frontiers—edging up from Opus 4.6's 40.7% and demonstrating logarithmic gains from extended reasoning tokens. This keeps pace in the fierce rivalry with OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, fueling trader optimism amid Anthropic's accelerated release cadence. Claude 5, slated for Q2-Q3 2026, represents the key catalyst that could surpass 50% before June 30, though evolving evals and safety constraints on preview models like Mythos add uncertainty to frontier AI math capabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$59,289 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
50%+
39%
$59,289 Vol.
50%+
$12,256 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 recently achieved 43.8% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-4—a rigorous benchmark of hundreds of expert-vetted, unpublished math problems spanning undergraduate to research frontiers—edging up from Opus 4.6's 40.7% and demonstrating logarithmic gains from extended reasoning tokens. This keeps pace in the fierce rivalry with OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, fueling trader optimism amid Anthropic's accelerated release cadence. Claude 5, slated for Q2-Q3 2026, represents the key catalyst that could surpass 50% before June 30, though evolving evals and safety constraints on preview models like Mythos add uncertainty to frontier AI math capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$59,289End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 recently achieved 43.8% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-4—a rigorous benchmark of hundreds of expert-vetted, unpublished math problems spanning undergraduate to research frontiers—edging up from Opus 4.6's 40.7% and demonstrating logarithmic gains from extended reasoning tokens. This keeps pace in the fierce rivalry with OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, fueling trader optimism amid Anthropic's accelerated release cadence. Claude 5, slated for Q2-Q3 2026, represents the key catalyst that could surpass 50% before June 30, though evolving evals and safety constraints on preview models like Mythos add uncertainty to frontier AI math capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,289End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 recently achieved 43.8% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-4—a rigorous benchmark of hundreds of expert-vetted, unpublished math problems spanning undergraduate to research frontiers—edging up from Opus 4.6's 40.7% and demonstrating logarithmic gains from extended reasoning tokens. This keeps pace in the fierce rivalry with OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, fueling trader optimism amid Anthropic's accelerated release cadence. Claude 5, slated for Q2-Q3 2026, represents the key catalyst that could surpass 50% before June 30, though evolving evals and safety constraints on preview models like Mythos add uncertainty to frontier AI math capabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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