Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the July 31–August 7 window, with the 180–199 range commanding an 84.5% implied probability. Recent daily activity has aligned closely with the mid-20s average that historically produces weekly totals in this band, reflecting his role as an active platform owner who frequently comments on product updates, industry news, and public discourse. Lower-probability brackets above 220 remain sidelined absent any major catalyst such as a product launch or viral controversy that would spike output. With the counting period concluding, the market reflects aggregated trader tracking of his consistent cadence rather than any abrupt shift in engagement patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 86%
200-219 16%
220-239 <1%
240-259 <1%
$2,985,353 Vol.
$2,985,353 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
180-199
86%
200-219
16%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 86%
200-219 16%
220-239 <1%
240-259 <1%
$2,985,353 Vol.
$2,985,353 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
180-199
$185,401 Vol.
86%
200-219
$230,632 Vol.
16%
220-239
$213,453 Vol.
1%
240-259
$235,516 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$186,278 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$121,753 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$102,269 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$79,971 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$52,636 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$63,595 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$62,092 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$62,747 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$37,705 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$13,730 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$12,331 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$11,106 Vol.
<1%
500+
$72,797 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the July 31–August 7 window, with the 180–199 range commanding an 84.5% implied probability. Recent daily activity has aligned closely with the mid-20s average that historically produces weekly totals in this band, reflecting his role as an active platform owner who frequently comments on product updates, industry news, and public discourse. Lower-probability brackets above 220 remain sidelined absent any major catalyst such as a product launch or viral controversy that would spike output. With the counting period concluding, the market reflects aggregated trader tracking of his consistent cadence rather than any abrupt shift in engagement patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,985,353End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the July 31–August 7 window, with the 180–199 range commanding an 84.5% implied probability. Recent daily activity has aligned closely with the mid-20s average that historically produces weekly totals in this band, reflecting his role as an active platform owner who frequently comments on product updates, industry news, and public discourse. Lower-probability brackets above 220 remain sidelined absent any major catalyst such as a product launch or viral controversy that would spike output. With the counting period concluding, the market reflects aggregated trader tracking of his consistent cadence rather than any abrupt shift in engagement patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,985,353End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the July 31–August 7 window, with the 180–199 range commanding an 84.5% implied probability. Recent daily activity has aligned closely with the mid-20s average that historically produces weekly totals in this band, reflecting his role as an active platform owner who frequently comments on product updates, industry news, and public discourse. Lower-probability brackets above 220 remain sidelined absent any major catalyst such as a product launch or viral controversy that would spike output. With the counting period concluding, the market reflects aggregated trader tracking of his consistent cadence rather than any abrupt shift in engagement patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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