The election on 6 September 2026 produced official turnout of 77.8 percent among roughly 1.7 million eligible voters, well above the 60.3 percent recorded in 2021 and triggering immediate market resolution to “Up.” Traders reached near-certainty because early afternoon counts already exceeded the prior election’s final total, with final figures confirming a 17.5-point rise—the highest Landtag participation since 1990. Polarization around the AfD’s strong performance mobilized previous non-voters, while national attention and multiple parties near the five-percent threshold encouraged broader participation through both in-person and absentee ballots. Only an unforeseen official revision or definition change in eligible-voter counts could alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
$6,032 Vol.
$6,032 Vol.
Up
$6,032 Vol.
$6,032 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The election on 6 September 2026 produced official turnout of 77.8 percent among roughly 1.7 million eligible voters, well above the 60.3 percent recorded in 2021 and triggering immediate market resolution to “Up.” Traders reached near-certainty because early afternoon counts already exceeded the prior election’s final total, with final figures confirming a 17.5-point rise—the highest Landtag participation since 1990. Polarization around the AfD’s strong performance mobilized previous non-voters, while national attention and multiple parties near the five-percent threshold encouraged broader participation through both in-person and absentee ballots. Only an unforeseen official revision or definition change in eligible-voter counts could alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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