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Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 92.5%

Jim Priest 6.3%

Rebekah LaVann <1%

Troy Green <1%

Polymarket

$105,329 Vol.

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 92.5%

Jim Priest 6.3%

Rebekah LaVann <1%

Troy Green <1%

Polymarket

$105,329 Vol.

icon for N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas

$72,638 Vol.

93%

icon for Jim Priest

Jim Priest

$17,511 Vol.

6%

icon for Rebekah LaVann

Rebekah LaVann

$6,515 Vol.

<1%

icon for Troy Green

Troy Green

$8,665 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas holds a commanding lead in the August 25 Democratic runoff for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat because she captured 45 percent in the June 16 primary—nearly double Jim Priest’s 24 percent—while the remaining candidates split the rest. Traders have priced her at 93 percent, viewing her strong first-place finish, broader name recognition, and base mobilization as decisive advantages in a low-turnout contest limited to Democratic voters. Priest’s experience as an attorney and nonprofit leader has not narrowed the gap in recent weeks. A late surge for Priest would require unusually high engagement among his supporters or unexpected shifts in turnout patterns, neither of which has materialized in polling or fundraising data ahead of the runoff.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$105,329
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas holds a commanding lead in the August 25 Democratic runoff for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat because she captured 45 percent in the June 16 primary—nearly double Jim Priest’s 24 percent—while the remaining candidates split the rest. Traders have priced her at 93 percent, viewing her strong first-place finish, broader name recognition, and base mobilization as decisive advantages in a low-turnout contest limited to Democratic voters. Priest’s experience as an attorney and nonprofit leader has not narrowed the gap in recent weeks. A late surge for Priest would require unusually high engagement among his supporters or unexpected shifts in turnout patterns, neither of which has materialized in polling or fundraising data ahead of the runoff.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$105,329
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas" at 93%, followed by "Jim Priest" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $105.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jim Priest" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.