James Fishback secured a clear third-place finish in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican primary for governor, backed by roughly 10.5 percent of the vote according to nearly complete tallies. Byron Donalds led with about 47.9 percent after receiving President Trump's endorsement and strong establishment support, while Jay Collins placed second near 25 percent. Fishback's position reflects his limited fundraising and name recognition relative to the top two contenders, despite his focus on issues such as data-center regulation, property taxes, and affordability. Late vote certification or an extremely narrow margin shift between Fishback and fourth-place finisher Paul Renner could theoretically alter the order, though current reporting shows no realistic path for such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJames Fishback 100.0%
Jay Collins <1%
Byron Donalds <1%
Paul Renner <1%
$3,156 Vol.
$3,156 Vol.
Jay Collins
No
Byron Donalds
No
Paul Renner
No
James Fishback
Yes
Jim Holcomb
No
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
No
Daniel Nokovich
No
Rachel Rodriguez
No
James Walker Shaw
No
Caneste Succe
No
Bobby Williams
No
James Fishback 100.0%
Jay Collins <1%
Byron Donalds <1%
Paul Renner <1%
$3,156 Vol.
$3,156 Vol.
Jay Collins
No
Byron Donalds
No
Paul Renner
No
James Fishback
Yes
Jim Holcomb
No
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
No
Daniel Nokovich
No
Rachel Rodriguez
No
James Walker Shaw
No
Caneste Succe
No
Bobby Williams
No
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
James Fishback secured a clear third-place finish in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican primary for governor, backed by roughly 10.5 percent of the vote according to nearly complete tallies. Byron Donalds led with about 47.9 percent after receiving President Trump's endorsement and strong establishment support, while Jay Collins placed second near 25 percent. Fishback's position reflects his limited fundraising and name recognition relative to the top two contenders, despite his focus on issues such as data-center regulation, property taxes, and affordability. Late vote certification or an extremely narrow margin shift between Fishback and fourth-place finisher Paul Renner could theoretically alter the order, though current reporting shows no realistic path for such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions