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icon for Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Lisa Demuth 59%

Mike Lindell 42%

Kendall Qualls 1.4%

Scott Jensen <1%

Polymarket

$638,254 Vol.

Lisa Demuth 59%

Mike Lindell 42%

Kendall Qualls 1.4%

Scott Jensen <1%

Polymarket

$638,254 Vol.

icon for Lisa Demuth

Lisa Demuth

$124,435 Vol.

59%

icon for Mike Lindell

Mike Lindell

$224,128 Vol.

42%

icon for Kendall Qualls

Kendall Qualls

$64,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Scott Jensen

Scott Jensen

$144,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Patrick Knight

Patrick Knight

$13,165 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chris Madel

Chris Madel

$10,421 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeff Johnson

Jeff Johnson

$5,498 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Kohler

Brad Kohler

$8,484 Vol.

<1%

icon for Phil Parrish

Phil Parrish

$26,982 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kristin Robbins

Kristin Robbins

$16,633 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary as the sitting House speaker with a strong fundraising edge and appeal among older primary voters who typically turn out at higher rates. Recent SurveyUSA polling shows Mike Lindell holding a narrowing lead thanks to his Trump endorsement and name recognition, yet Demuth has closed gaps in key demographics ahead of the August 11 vote. Kendall Qualls trails as the state party-endorsed option with veteran and business credentials, while other declared candidates remain marginal. The market pricing reflects trader assessments of establishment advantages and turnout patterns in this open primary to succeed term-limited Democratic Gov. Tim Walz.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$638,254
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary as the sitting House speaker with a strong fundraising edge and appeal among older primary voters who typically turn out at higher rates. Recent SurveyUSA polling shows Mike Lindell holding a narrowing lead thanks to his Trump endorsement and name recognition, yet Demuth has closed gaps in key demographics ahead of the August 11 vote. Kendall Qualls trails as the state party-endorsed option with veteran and business credentials, while other declared candidates remain marginal. The market pricing reflects trader assessments of establishment advantages and turnout patterns in this open primary to succeed term-limited Democratic Gov. Tim Walz.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$638,254
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lisa Demuth" at 59%, followed by "Mike Lindell" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $638.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Lisa Demuth" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Lindell" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.