Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary as the sitting House speaker with a strong fundraising edge and appeal among older primary voters who typically turn out at higher rates. Recent SurveyUSA polling shows Mike Lindell holding a narrowing lead thanks to his Trump endorsement and name recognition, yet Demuth has closed gaps in key demographics ahead of the August 11 vote. Kendall Qualls trails as the state party-endorsed option with veteran and business credentials, while other declared candidates remain marginal. The market pricing reflects trader assessments of establishment advantages and turnout patterns in this open primary to succeed term-limited Democratic Gov. Tim Walz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLisa Demuth 59%
Mike Lindell 42%
Kendall Qualls 1.4%
Scott Jensen <1%
$638,254 Vol.
$638,254 Vol.

Lisa Demuth
59%

Mike Lindell
42%

Kendall Qualls
1%

Scott Jensen
<1%

Patrick Knight
<1%

Chris Madel
<1%

Jeff Johnson
<1%

Brad Kohler
<1%

Phil Parrish
<1%

Kristin Robbins
<1%
Lisa Demuth 59%
Mike Lindell 42%
Kendall Qualls 1.4%
Scott Jensen <1%
$638,254 Vol.
$638,254 Vol.

Lisa Demuth
59%

Mike Lindell
42%

Kendall Qualls
1%

Scott Jensen
<1%

Patrick Knight
<1%

Chris Madel
<1%

Jeff Johnson
<1%

Brad Kohler
<1%

Phil Parrish
<1%

Kristin Robbins
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus in the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary as the sitting House speaker with a strong fundraising edge and appeal among older primary voters who typically turn out at higher rates. Recent SurveyUSA polling shows Mike Lindell holding a narrowing lead thanks to his Trump endorsement and name recognition, yet Demuth has closed gaps in key demographics ahead of the August 11 vote. Kendall Qualls trails as the state party-endorsed option with veteran and business credentials, while other declared candidates remain marginal. The market pricing reflects trader assessments of establishment advantages and turnout patterns in this open primary to succeed term-limited Democratic Gov. Tim Walz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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