Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers' decision not to seek re-election opened the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race, creating a crowded Democratic primary featuring Rep. Francesca Hong and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes atop fragmented polls with 65% undecided voters per the latest Marquette survey (March 11–18). Republicans have consolidated early behind U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, who leads his primary by wide margins (40–65%) following President Trump's endorsement and rival withdrawals. Recent general election matchups, including TIPP Insights (March 23) showing mixed results like Tiffany edging Hong 43–40% while trailing others, and Patriot Polling's 46–42 Tiffany lead, reveal a tight battleground contest. Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats amid historical gubernatorial wins and primary dynamics that could yield a unified nominee ahead of the August 11 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin
$10,166 Vol.
$10,166 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demócrata
76%
Republicano
18%
$10,166 Vol.
$10,166 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demócrata
$10,166 Vol.
76%
Republicano
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers' decision not to seek re-election opened the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race, creating a crowded Democratic primary featuring Rep. Francesca Hong and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes atop fragmented polls with 65% undecided voters per the latest Marquette survey (March 11–18). Republicans have consolidated early behind U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, who leads his primary by wide margins (40–65%) following President Trump's endorsement and rival withdrawals. Recent general election matchups, including TIPP Insights (March 23) showing mixed results like Tiffany edging Hong 43–40% while trailing others, and Patriot Polling's 46–42 Tiffany lead, reveal a tight battleground contest. Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats amid historical gubernatorial wins and primary dynamics that could yield a unified nominee ahead of the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$10,166Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers' decision not to seek re-election opened the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race, creating a crowded Democratic primary featuring Rep. Francesca Hong and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes atop fragmented polls with 65% undecided voters per the latest Marquette survey (March 11–18). Republicans have consolidated early behind U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, who leads his primary by wide margins (40–65%) following President Trump's endorsement and rival withdrawals. Recent general election matchups, including TIPP Insights (March 23) showing mixed results like Tiffany edging Hong 43–40% while trailing others, and Patriot Polling's 46–42 Tiffany lead, reveal a tight battleground contest. Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats amid historical gubernatorial wins and primary dynamics that could yield a unified nominee ahead of the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,166Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers' decision not to seek re-election opened the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race, creating a crowded Democratic primary featuring Rep. Francesca Hong and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes atop fragmented polls with 65% undecided voters per the latest Marquette survey (March 11–18). Republicans have consolidated early behind U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, who leads his primary by wide margins (40–65%) following President Trump's endorsement and rival withdrawals. Recent general election matchups, including TIPP Insights (March 23) showing mixed results like Tiffany edging Hong 43–40% while trailing others, and Patriot Polling's 46–42 Tiffany lead, reveal a tight battleground contest. Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats amid historical gubernatorial wins and primary dynamics that could yield a unified nominee ahead of the August 11 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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