David Crowley holds a strong position in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, backed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers and other establishment figures. This outcome, combined with early general election polls showing Crowley ahead by 4-5 points among likely voters, has shaped trader consensus around his favorability. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany secured his party's nomination easily with former President Trump's endorsement but faces headwinds in the swing state, including attacks on issues like data center incentives and taxes. A confirmed October 21 debate and recent candidate alignments on topics such as wolf management provide limited new catalysts, while the open seat and historical Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests reinforce the current implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin
$587,696 Vol.
$587,696 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
84%
Tom Tiffany (R)
17%
$587,696 Vol.
$587,696 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
$315,253 Vol.
84%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$272,443 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley holds a strong position in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, backed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers and other establishment figures. This outcome, combined with early general election polls showing Crowley ahead by 4-5 points among likely voters, has shaped trader consensus around his favorability. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany secured his party's nomination easily with former President Trump's endorsement but faces headwinds in the swing state, including attacks on issues like data center incentives and taxes. A confirmed October 21 debate and recent candidate alignments on topics such as wolf management provide limited new catalysts, while the open seat and historical Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests reinforce the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$587,696Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley holds a strong position in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, backed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers and other establishment figures. This outcome, combined with early general election polls showing Crowley ahead by 4-5 points among likely voters, has shaped trader consensus around his favorability. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany secured his party's nomination easily with former President Trump's endorsement but faces headwinds in the swing state, including attacks on issues like data center incentives and taxes. A confirmed October 21 debate and recent candidate alignments on topics such as wolf management provide limited new catalysts, while the open seat and historical Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests reinforce the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$587,696Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley holds a strong position in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, backed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers and other establishment figures. This outcome, combined with early general election polls showing Crowley ahead by 4-5 points among likely voters, has shaped trader consensus around his favorability. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany secured his party's nomination easily with former President Trump's endorsement but faces headwinds in the swing state, including attacks on issues like data center incentives and taxes. A confirmed October 21 debate and recent candidate alignments on topics such as wolf management provide limited new catalysts, while the open seat and historical Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests reinforce the current implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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