US national average retail gasoline prices have climbed above $4.10 per gallon as of April 4, propelled by the US-Israel military strikes on Iran starting late February, which triggered retaliatory actions, Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions, and regional oil production shut-ins that sent crude benchmarks over $100 per barrel. Recent escalation signals, including President Trump's April 2 speech vowing intensified pressure, fueled an 11% oil price spike that day, while spring break travel and refinery shifts to costlier summer blends amplify demand pressures. Traders eye potential de-escalation diplomacy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, or conflict resolutions before the April 30 AAA average determines market outcomes, with EIA projecting annual moderation to around $3.34 despite near-term volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$170,121 Vol.
30 abr 2026
↑ $5.00
13%
↑ $4.75
26%
↑ $4.50
65%
↑ $4.25
93%
↑ $4.15
98%
↓ $3.95
14%
↓ $3.85
10%
↓ $3.75
5%
↓ $3.50
3%
↓ $3.25
2%
↓ $3.00
1%
$170,121 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$22,478 Vol.
13%
↑ $4.75
$11,397 Vol.
26%
↑ $4.50
$4,309 Vol.
65%
↑ $4.25
$6,785 Vol.
93%
↑ $4.15
$6,290 Vol.
98%
↓ $3.95
$1,849 Vol.
14%
↓ $3.85
$3,699 Vol.
10%
↓ $3.75
$1,942 Vol.
5%
↓ $3.50
$229 Vol.
3%
↓ $3.25
$73 Vol.
2%
↓ $3.00
$942 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average retail gasoline prices have climbed above $4.10 per gallon as of April 4, propelled by the US-Israel military strikes on Iran starting late February, which triggered retaliatory actions, Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions, and regional oil production shut-ins that sent crude benchmarks over $100 per barrel. Recent escalation signals, including President Trump's April 2 speech vowing intensified pressure, fueled an 11% oil price spike that day, while spring break travel and refinery shifts to costlier summer blends amplify demand pressures. Traders eye potential de-escalation diplomacy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, or conflict resolutions before the April 30 AAA average determines market outcomes, with EIA projecting annual moderation to around $3.34 despite near-term volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volumen
$170,121Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average retail gasoline prices have climbed above $4.10 per gallon as of April 4, propelled by the US-Israel military strikes on Iran starting late February, which triggered retaliatory actions, Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions, and regional oil production shut-ins that sent crude benchmarks over $100 per barrel. Recent escalation signals, including President Trump's April 2 speech vowing intensified pressure, fueled an 11% oil price spike that day, while spring break travel and refinery shifts to costlier summer blends amplify demand pressures. Traders eye potential de-escalation diplomacy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, or conflict resolutions before the April 30 AAA average determines market outcomes, with EIA projecting annual moderation to around $3.34 despite near-term volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$170,121Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US national average retail gasoline prices have climbed above $4.10 per gallon as of April 4, propelled by the US-Israel military strikes on Iran starting late February, which triggered retaliatory actions, Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions, and regional oil production shut-ins that sent crude benchmarks over $100 per barrel. Recent escalation signals, including President Trump's April 2 speech vowing intensified pressure, fueled an 11% oil price spike that day, while spring break travel and refinery shifts to costlier summer blends amplify demand pressures. Traders eye potential de-escalation diplomacy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, or conflict resolutions before the April 30 AAA average determines market outcomes, with EIA projecting annual moderation to around $3.34 despite near-term volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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