Trader consensus prices "No" at 85% for a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting scant diplomatic progress amid regional volatility. Kazakhstan's accession in November 2025 marked the latest expansion, with Somaliland also aligning earlier that year, but no subsequent formal normalizations have occurred. Recent US advocacy, including President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to join against the backdrop of Iran tensions, and bipartisan Senate bills like the Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act introduced last week, signal interest without concrete negotiations or timelines. Saudi Arabia and Syria show exploratory signals, yet complex hurdles—territorial disputes, domestic politics, and escalation risks—leave traders skeptical of resolution in the tight three-month window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNUEVO
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30 jun 2026
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30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 85% for a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting scant diplomatic progress amid regional volatility. Kazakhstan's accession in November 2025 marked the latest expansion, with Somaliland also aligning earlier that year, but no subsequent formal normalizations have occurred. Recent US advocacy, including President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to join against the backdrop of Iran tensions, and bipartisan Senate bills like the Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act introduced last week, signal interest without concrete negotiations or timelines. Saudi Arabia and Syria show exploratory signals, yet complex hurdles—territorial disputes, domestic politics, and escalation risks—leave traders skeptical of resolution in the tight three-month window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$471Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 85% for a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting scant diplomatic progress amid regional volatility. Kazakhstan's accession in November 2025 marked the latest expansion, with Somaliland also aligning earlier that year, but no subsequent formal normalizations have occurred. Recent US advocacy, including President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to join against the backdrop of Iran tensions, and bipartisan Senate bills like the Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act introduced last week, signal interest without concrete negotiations or timelines. Saudi Arabia and Syria show exploratory signals, yet complex hurdles—territorial disputes, domestic politics, and escalation risks—leave traders skeptical of resolution in the tight three-month window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$471Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 85% for a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting scant diplomatic progress amid regional volatility. Kazakhstan's accession in November 2025 marked the latest expansion, with Somaliland also aligning earlier that year, but no subsequent formal normalizations have occurred. Recent US advocacy, including President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to join against the backdrop of Iran tensions, and bipartisan Senate bills like the Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act introduced last week, signal interest without concrete negotiations or timelines. Saudi Arabia and Syria show exploratory signals, yet complex hurdles—territorial disputes, domestic politics, and escalation risks—leave traders skeptical of resolution in the tight three-month window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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