Market icon

¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?

Market icon

¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Lori Chavez-DeRemer 35%

Pam Bondi 16%

Nadie antes de 2027 7.6%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Lori Chavez-DeRemer 35%

Pam Bondi 16%

Nadie antes de 2027 7.6%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$192 Vol.

35%

Pam Bondi

$526 Vol.

16%

Nadie antes de 2027

$922 Vol.

8%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$100 Vol.

7%

Tulsi Gabbard

$228 Vol.

7%

Chris Wright

$210 Vol.

6%

Linda McMahon

$100 Vol.

6%

Doug Burgum

$93 Vol.

5%

Susie Wiles

$97 Vol.

5%

Sean Duffy

$205 Vol.

5%

John Ratcliffe

$122 Vol.

5%

Jamieson Greer

$103 Vol.

4%

Scott Turner

$100 Vol.

4%

Howard Lutnick

$98 Vol.

4%

Mike Waltz

$105 Vol.

4%

Brooke Rollins

$105 Vol.

4%

Marco Rubio

$100 Vol.

4%

Kelly Loeffler

$123 Vol.

4%

Pete Hegseth

$164 Vol.

4%

Doug Collins

$99 Vol.

3%

Lee Zeldin

$80 Vol.

3%

Scott Bessent

$80 Vol.

3%

J.D. Vance

$100 Vol.

2%

Russell T. Vought

$85 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$4,131
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 24 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lori Chavez-DeRemer" con 35%, seguido de "Pam Bondi" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 6, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?", explora los 24 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?" es "Lori Chavez-DeRemer" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Pam Bondi" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.