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Política·Trump

Verificación de hechos: ¿Captura de Maduro puesta en escena?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Verificación de hechos: ¿Captura de Maduro puesta en escena?

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$997,053 Vol.

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$997,053 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on "No" at 99.7% stems from the absence of any credible confirmation that Nicolás Maduro's January 3, 2026, capture during U.S. Operation Absolute Resolve was staged, despite persistent social media rumors of an inside job or assisted coup. Verified evidence—including satellite imagery of airstrikes on Venezuelan air defenses and infrastructure, reports of dozens of military casualties, eyewitness accounts, and Maduro's perp walk—supports the authenticity of the Delta Force raid on his Fort Tiuna compound. Maduro remains in U.S. custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, with his wife Cilia Flores, facing narcoterrorism and drug charges; he appeared in Manhattan federal court on March 26 for a hearing on legal fees, where the case advanced without dismissal. Only extraordinary developments, such as a whistleblower revelation or official admission from U.S. or Venezuelan authorities, could shift odds now.

Trader consensus on "No" at 99.7% stems from the absence of any credible confirmation that Nicolás Maduro's January 3, 2026, capture during U.S. Operation Absolute Resolve was staged, despite persistent social media rumors of an inside job or assisted coup. Verified evidence—including satellite imagery of airstrikes on Venezuelan air defenses and infrastructure, reports of dozens of military casualties, eyewitness accounts, and Maduro's perp walk—supports the authenticity of the Delta Force raid on his Fort Tiuna compound. Maduro remains in U.S. custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, with his wife Cilia Flores, facing narcoterrorism and drug charges; he appeared in Manhattan federal court on March 26 for a hearing on legal fees, where the case advanced without dismissal. Only extraordinary developments, such as a whistleblower revelation or official admission from U.S. or Venezuelan authorities, could shift odds now.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on "No" at 99.7% stems from the absence of any credible confirmation that Nicolás Maduro's January 3, 2026, capture during U.S. Operation Absolute Resolve was staged, despite persistent social media rumors of an inside job or assisted coup. Verified evidence—including satellite imagery of airstrikes on Venezuelan air defenses and infrastructure, reports of dozens of military casualties, eyewitness accounts, and Maduro's perp walk—supports the authenticity of the Delta Force raid on his Fort Tiuna compound. Maduro remains in U.S. custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, with his wife Cilia Flores, facing narcoterrorism and drug charges; he appeared in Manhattan federal court on March 26 for a hearing on legal fees, where the case advanced without dismissal. Only extraordinary developments, such as a whistleblower revelation or official admission from U.S. or Venezuelan authorities, could shift odds now.

Trader consensus on "No" at 99.7% stems from the absence of any credible confirmation that Nicolás Maduro's January 3, 2026, capture during U.S. Operation Absolute Resolve was staged, despite persistent social media rumors of an inside job or assisted coup. Verified evidence—including satellite imagery of airstrikes on Venezuelan air defenses and infrastructure, reports of dozens of military casualties, eyewitness accounts, and Maduro's perp walk—supports the authenticity of the Delta Force raid on his Fort Tiuna compound. Maduro remains in U.S. custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, with his wife Cilia Flores, facing narcoterrorism and drug charges; he appeared in Manhattan federal court on March 26 for a hearing on legal fees, where the case advanced without dismissal. Only extraordinary developments, such as a whistleblower revelation or official admission from U.S. or Venezuelan authorities, could shift odds now.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Verificación de hechos: ¿Captura de Maduro puesta en escena?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Verificación de hechos: la captura de Maduro fue simulada?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Verificación de hechos: ¿Captura de Maduro puesta en escena?" ha generado $997.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Verificación de hechos: ¿Captura de Maduro puesta en escena?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "Verificación de hechos: ¿Captura de Maduro puesta en escena?" es "¿Verificación de hechos: la captura de Maduro fue simulada?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Verificación de hechos: ¿Captura de Maduro puesta en escena?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.