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Elecciones·Trump

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

Market icon
Elecciones·Trump

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

Micah Lasher 42%

Alex Bores 28%

Jack Schlossberg 18%

George Conway 3.0%

Polymarket

$105,519 Vol.

Micah Lasher 42%

Alex Bores 28%

Jack Schlossberg 18%

George Conway 3.0%

Polymarket

$105,519 Vol.

Micah Lasher

$4,605 Vol.

42%

Alex Bores

$2,877 Vol.

27%

Jack Schlossberg

$6,131 Vol.

18%

George Conway

$1,409 Vol.

3%

Erik Bottcher

$1,823 Vol.

3%

Liz Krueger

$36,794 Vol.

1%

Lina Khan

$1,801 Vol.

1%

Julie Menin

$22,807 Vol.

1%

Cameron Kasky

$2,313 Vol.

1%

Andrew Cuomo

$1,559 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$4,664 Vol.

<1%

Keith Powers

$2,473 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$1,244 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$1,789 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$1,255 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$6,916 Vol.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$1,454 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$1,964 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$1,641 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler's February endorsement of former aide Assemblymember Micah Lasher, followed by Michael Bloomberg's March 12 backing and $5 million commitment, has propelled Lasher to the top of trader consensus at 42% implied probability in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary set for June 23. Early March polls reflect a tight contest, with Lasher, Assemblymember Alex Bores (26.5%), and Kennedy scion Jack Schlossberg (17.5%) clustered near 20% each amid undecideds, but Lasher's establishment support and recent super PAC infusions like Stand For New York's $640,000 outlay have widened his edge. Bores draws strength from assembly tenure despite pro-AI group attacks, while Schlossberg's name recognition faces fundraising hurdles in this open Manhattan seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$105,519
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler's February endorsement of former aide Assemblymember Micah Lasher, followed by Michael Bloomberg's March 12 backing and $5 million commitment, has propelled Lasher to the top of trader consensus at 42% implied probability in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary set for June 23. Early March polls reflect a tight contest, with Lasher, Assemblymember Alex Bores (26.5%), and Kennedy scion Jack Schlossberg (17.5%) clustered near 20% each amid undecideds, but Lasher's establishment support and recent super PAC infusions like Stand For New York's $640,000 outlay have widened his edge. Bores draws strength from assembly tenure despite pro-AI group attacks, while Schlossberg's name recognition faces fundraising hurdles in this open Manhattan seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$105,519
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Micah Lasher" con 42%, seguido de "Alex Bores" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" ha generado $105.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 21, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es "Micah Lasher" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alex Bores" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.