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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$330,874 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$330,874 Vol.

Polymarket

Somalilandia

$44,903 Vol.

31%

Arabia Saudita

$46,864 Vol.

21%

Líbano

$0 Vol.

19%

Siria

$110,357 Vol.

18%

Azerbaiyán

$28,259 Vol.

17%

Omán

$100,492 Vol.

15%

Kuwait

$0 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's March 28 call at the FII Priority summit for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, citing Iran's diminished threat after recent U.S.-led strikes, has reignited speculation on further normalization expansions. Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 marked the first addition under Trump's second term, extending the framework beyond Arab states to Central Asia for economic and security benefits. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted the breakaway region's pledge to join, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Syria security talks in January 2026 signal potential diplomatic ties, though Syria has distanced itself from the Accords label. Traders weigh these diplomatic overtures against persistent hurdles like Saudi demands for Palestinian progress and regional instabilities, with no new joins confirmed since Kazakhstan. Upcoming Saudi responses and Syria negotiations could shift dynamics before the 2027 deadline.

President Trump's March 28 call at the FII Priority summit for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, citing Iran's diminished threat after recent U.S.-led strikes, has reignited speculation on further normalization expansions. Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 marked the first addition under Trump's second term, extending the framework beyond Arab states to Central Asia for economic and security benefits. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted the breakaway region's pledge to join, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Syria security talks in January 2026 signal potential diplomatic ties, though Syria has distanced itself from the Accords label. Traders weigh these diplomatic overtures against persistent hurdles like Saudi demands for Palestinian progress and regional instabilities, with no new joins confirmed since Kazakhstan. Upcoming Saudi responses and Syria negotiations could shift dynamics before the 2027 deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's March 28 call at the FII Priority summit for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, citing Iran's diminished threat after recent U.S.-led strikes, has reignited speculation on further normalization expansions. Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 marked the first addition under Trump's second term, extending the framework beyond Arab states to Central Asia for economic and security benefits. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted the breakaway region's pledge to join, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Syria security talks in January 2026 signal potential diplomatic ties, though Syria has distanced itself from the Accords label. Traders weigh these diplomatic overtures against persistent hurdles like Saudi demands for Palestinian progress and regional instabilities, with no new joins confirmed since Kazakhstan. Upcoming Saudi responses and Syria negotiations could shift dynamics before the 2027 deadline.

President Trump's March 28 call at the FII Priority summit for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, citing Iran's diminished threat after recent U.S.-led strikes, has reignited speculation on further normalization expansions. Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 marked the first addition under Trump's second term, extending the framework beyond Arab states to Central Asia for economic and security benefits. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted the breakaway region's pledge to join, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Syria security talks in January 2026 signal potential diplomatic ties, though Syria has distanced itself from the Accords label. Traders weigh these diplomatic overtures against persistent hurdles like Saudi demands for Palestinian progress and regional instabilities, with no new joins confirmed since Kazakhstan. Upcoming Saudi responses and Syria negotiations could shift dynamics before the 2027 deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Somalilandia" con 31%, seguido de "Arabia Saudita" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 31¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" ha generado $330.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es "Somalilandia" con 31%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Arabia Saudita" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.