Market icon
Tech·IA

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Market icon
Tech·IA

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

mar 31

abr 30

jun 30

mar 31

abr 30

jun 30

Anthropic 84%

xAI 4.9%

Google 4.3%

OpenAI 2.1%

Polymarket

$804,885 Vol.

Anthropic 84%

xAI 4.9%

Google 4.3%

OpenAI 2.1%

Polymarket

$804,885 Vol.

Market icon

Anthropic

$21,142 Vol.

84%

Market icon

xAI

$129,821 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Google

$129,218 Vol.

4%

Market icon

OpenAI

$87,772 Vol.

2%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$224,131 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$60,606 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$26,678 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$8,210 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ByteDance

$8,228 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Amazon

$29,187 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$62,907 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Meituan

$7,357 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Baidu

$9,629 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands an 84% implied probability on Polymarket for owning the top AI model by April 30, driven by its Claude Opus 4.6 variants dominating the resolution leaderboard—LMArena.ai's Text Arena (Style Control On)—with scores of 1504 and 1500 Elo as of late March 2026, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview at 1493 and xAI's Grok 4.20 beta at 1491. February releases of Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6, coupled with March innovations like Claude Code desktop previews and 1M-token context windows, have solidified trader consensus on sustained leadership amid coding and design benchmark supremacy. xAI's 5.1% reflects Grok-5 delay hopes, while Google's 4.3% acknowledges recent gains but persistent gaps; watch for pre-April announcements that could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$804,885
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands an 84% implied probability on Polymarket for owning the top AI model by April 30, driven by its Claude Opus 4.6 variants dominating the resolution leaderboard—LMArena.ai's Text Arena (Style Control On)—with scores of 1504 and 1500 Elo as of late March 2026, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview at 1493 and xAI's Grok 4.20 beta at 1491. February releases of Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6, coupled with March innovations like Claude Code desktop previews and 1M-token context windows, have solidified trader consensus on sustained leadership amid coding and design benchmark supremacy. xAI's 5.1% reflects Grok-5 delay hopes, while Google's 4.3% acknowledges recent gains but persistent gaps; watch for pre-April announcements that could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$804,885
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Anthropic" con 84%, seguido de "xAI" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" ha generado $804.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" es "Anthropic" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "xAI" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.